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Gamblin'

What’s On TV Tonight, And How Not To Lose Your Money Gamblin’


Welcome to SportsGrid’s new, daily feature, where we tell you what sports are on TV tonight. Then, I do my best to help you win some money while watching. You know, if you’re into that sort of thing, and gambling is legal in your jurisdiction. Feel free to tweet hateful things at me if my advice moves you to do so. TV games are often the toughest games to find an edge on, so don’t go crazy, people. If I do recommend a bet, I’ll keep track of it, so you can tell me how awful (or wonderful?) I am. For record-keeping, we’ll assume a standard bet is $10. Occasionally, there will be 2x or 3x bets, maybe 4 or 5 if I’m feeling spunky. Good luck, America!

NHL: Avalanche vs. Red Wings (7:30 p.m., NBCSN)

The Red Wings lost to the Blackhawks, 7-1, at home last night. The Red Wings are typically dominant at home, and I can’t imagine they’ve had that bad of a loss at the Joe in years. They’re actually just 9-6-3 at home this year, which is really uncharacteristic. That’s mainly because this Red Wings team is merely average, though, whereas most Red Wings teams are dominant. Still, you’d have to think they’ll come out firing after being embarrassed last night. People in Michigan love the Red Wings and they will be loud.

Detroit is average, but they’re better than Colorado, all around. Red Wings goalie Jimmy Howard is solid, and Avalanche goalie Semyon Varlamov is not solid. The Avalanche have the fewest points in the NHL, despite their 10-6-1 record at home. That’s because they’re 2-12-3 on the road.

The Red Wings at home are always a good bet. The Red Wings at home vs. Varlamov and the Avalanche is a very good bet.

Red Wings ML -163, $30 to win $18.40

NBA: Spurs at Grizzlies (-6.5) (8:00 p.m., NBATV)

This opened at Memphis -4.5, so this is a pretty significant move. Tim Duncan is doubtful. The Spurs lost to the shorthanded Heat last night, a game in which early Spurs -1 bettors lost despite the line closing at Spurs -9.5. Yeah, that doesn’t normally happen.

This line seems a little high. San Antonio has been fine on back-to-backs (7-5-2 ATS), and their recent streak (2-10 ATS in last 12) might be inflating the price here. The Spurs haven’t been greater than a 6-point underdog all season long, despite playing the Heat on the road among other good teams. I trust the Spurs.

Spurs +6.5 (-105), $10 to win $9.52 AND ML (+235), $1.50 to win $3.53

Bonus Bets!

MLB: Cardinals ML (-101), $5 to win $4.95
Phillies/Braves OVER 7 (-105), $5 to win $4.76

Record in games actually worth risking money on: 92-68 (+$82.22)

Good luck!

What else is on:

MLB

7 p.m. | ESPN2
Philadelphia at Atlanta
10 p.m. | ESPN2
St. Louis at Arizona

Women’s NCAA Basketball Tournament, Regional Finals

7:30 p.m. | ESPN
Kentucky vs. Connecticut
9:30 p.m. | ESPN
Georgia vs. California

NBA
10:30 p.m. | NBATV
Indiana at Los Angeles Clippers

Lines taken from 5dimes.eu (with reduced juice) and betonline.ag

Photo via Yahoo!



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