Gamblin'

What’s On TV Tonight, And How Not To Lose Your Money Gamblin’

by Matt Rudnitsky | 6:04 pm, March 21st, 2013

Welcome to SportsGrid’s new, daily feature, where we tell you what sports are on TV tonight. Then, I do my best to help you win some money while watching. You know, if you’re into that sort of thing, and gambling is legal in your jurisdiction. Feel free to tweet hateful things at me if my advice moves you to do so. TV games are often the toughest games to find an edge on, so don’t go crazy, people. If I do recommend a bet, I’ll keep track of it, so you can tell me how awful (or wonderful?) I am. For record-keeping, we’ll assume a standard bet is $10. Occasionally, there will be 2x or 3x bets, maybe 4 or 5 if I’m feeling spunky. Good luck, America!

You’re probably all watching March Madness tonight, as there’s only one live sporting event on TV, and it’s a hockey game many of you won’t care about. For full March Madness gamblin’ guide action, check out my West Region gamblin’ guide, (Mid)west Region gamblin’ guide and East Region gamblin’ guide and South Region gamblin’ guide. I’ll post the official bets here for my super-official record, as well as hockey analysis and bonus bets.

NHL: Devils (+107) at Hurricanes (-116) (7:00 p.m., NHL)

These are two teams with high upside, but two teams that are struggling mightily. The story of this game is that Martin Brodeur is returning from injury. The Devils have been awful without him, and they’ll presumably improve with a legendary goalie in the net. Brodeur has been excellent this year.

But I’ve heard lots of people argue to fade Brodeur in his first game back. That’s a reasonable angle, as he’ll be rusty. But I haven’t seen convincing enough stats to back it up, and I think the talent increase and the morale boost of having Brodeur back balances that out.

I don’t want any piece of either team, honestly. They’re both on “fade” mode until they show me something. And without knowing how rusty Brodeur will be, I’m not sure where the value is.

Pass