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Gamblin'

What’s On TV Tonight, And How Not To Lose Your Money Gamblin’


Welcome to SportsGrid’s new, daily feature, where we tell you what sports are on TV tonight. Then, I do my best to help you win some money while watching. You know, if you’re into that sort of thing, and gambling is legal in your jurisdiction. Feel free to tweet hateful things at me if my advice moves you to do so. TV games are often the toughest games to find an edge on, so don’t go crazy, people. If I do recommend a bet, I’ll keep track of it, so you can tell me how awful (or wonderful?) I am. For record-keeping, we’ll assume a standard bet is $10. Occasionally, there will be 2x or 3x bets, maybe 4 or 5 if I’m feeling spunky. Good luck, America!

College Basketball: Notre Dame at Syracuse (-8) (7:00 p.m., ESPN)

Notre Dame started off hot but proved they were overrated. They’ve “turned things around” by beating South Florida, Villanova and DePaul (in OT). Syracuse is an elite team with an elite offense and defense. Notre Dame has an elite offense and an abysmal defense. ‘Cuse is coming off two straight losses and will be fired up. The spread of is big, but not too big for this talent discrepancy, especially in the Carrier Dome.

But since this is a big spread, we’ll spread the bet into two bets, one on the first half, banking on that hot start, and then one on the full game.

Syracuse -4.5 (1H), $5 to win $4.55 AND Syracuse -8, $5 to win $4.55

NHL: Dallas (+122) at Colorado (-132) (9:00 p.m., NBCSN)

Colorado is the better team, and they’re at home. They’ve got injuries piling up, so you’re getting some value here. It’s tough to bet on a team that’s banged up like this, but they’re playing well in spite of the injuries and a dismal power play that should turn around somewhat. They’re worth a normal bet here at a pretty short price.

Colorado ML -132, $10 to win $7.66

College Basketball: Texas at West Virginia (-6) (9:00 p.m., ESPN)

Both teams are pretty awful, but play good defense. Texas is young and undisciplined, but has actually been solid against the spread (10-9). On a neutral court, they might be favored. You can’t trust either of these teams with a big spread. Neither team is a sure thing, but getting this many points is a nice gift, and worth a flier.

And as always, it’s worth putting a small amount (15% is a good default) on the moneyline when you bet an underdog.

Texas +6, $10 to win $9.09 AND Texas ML +230, $1.50 to win $3.45

College Basketball: Seton Hall at Pittsburgh (-15.5) (9:00 p.m., ESPN)

Pittsburgh is coming off a monstrous win against Syracuse, and this is a monstrous spread. Seton Hall isn’t good enough to count on in a road game, overmatched, but it seems fair to expect a letdown from the Panthers. The win over ‘Cuse was on Saturday; the players are probably still drunk. Take a shot on Seton Hall, first half.

Seton Hall +9 (1H), $10 to win $9.09

NBA: Sacramento at Utah (-8.5) (9:00 p.m., NBATV)

Utah is 14-8 ATS at home, while Sacramento is 10-15 ATS on the road. The Kings have been getting absolutely clobbered of late, and you’d be insane to back them.

But is this number too big to back the Jazz? Probably.

Pass, lean Jazz

Bonus Bet! NHL: Anaheim Ducks ML-102, $10 to win $9.80 AND Ducks -1.5 (+250), $1.50 to win $3.75.

What else is on: College Basketball: Oklahoma at Iowa State (7:00 p.m., ESPNU); Women’s College Basketball: Purdue at Penn State (7:00 p.m., ESPN2) and Texas A&M at LSU (9:00 p.m., ESPN2)

Record in games actually worth risking money on: 3-2 (-$0.32)
Leans: 1-0

Lines taken from 5dimes.eu and betonline.ag


  • Anonymous

    Good stuff, Matt. Look forward to these columns in the future


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