DO OR DIE: Fantasy Football Week 16 Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em
Julian Edelman has 51 targets the last four games. Photo Credit: Football Schedule
Philip Rivers (Chargers): Rivers didn’t need to pass much last week with the Chargers using the run to keep the Broncos offense off the field as they played with a lead. Rivers threw two TDs and attempted just 20 passes. Rivers had three TDs the week before and has 28 TDs with nine INTs. Rivers had 411 passing yards with two TDs in the first game against the Raiders, who have allowed the eighth most Fantasy points to QBs.
Jay Cutler (Bears): There was so much concern about Cutler returning last week and the rust factor. He started slowly and threw two interceptions, but in the end, he helped teams win with 265 passing yards and three TDs. The Eagles allowed Matt Cassel to pass for 382 yards with two TDs last week. With an array of weapons, Cutler will shine again in Week 16.
Andy Dalton (Bengals): Most of the time, Dalton produces in favorable matches and he has that with the Vikings this week. Dalton had 275 passing yards and three TDs two weeks ago in a good matchup against the Colts. The Bengals are home in a big game for them and the Vikings have allowed 31 passing TDs. The Vikings have allowed the second most Fantasy points to QBs.
Matt Ryan (Falcons): The 49ers have allowed the third fewest Fantasy points to QBs. The 49ers have allowed one quarterback to have multiple TDs in the last six games and that includes going against Drew Brees, Russell Wilson, and Cam Newton. Ryan has 210 passing yards or less in two consecutive games and four TDs in the last four games.
Matt Cassel (Vikings): Don’t chase last week’s stats with Cassel. He took advantage of a good matchup at home against the Eagles, passing for 382 yards with two TDs. The Vikings will play in Cincinnati, who have allowed nine passing TDs the last seven games and four came in one game against Andrew Luck.
Carson Palmer (Cardinals): Palmer is dealing with an ankle injury, Larry Fitzgerald has a concussion, Michael Floyd has a bad ankle and to make matters worse the Cardinals play in Seattle. It doesn’t get much worse. The Seahawks have allowed the fewest Fantasy points to QBs. Palmer had 258 passing yards with one TD and two INTs against the Seahawks in Week 7 and that is the last time the Seahawks allowed a QB to top 200 yards.
Alfred Morris (Redskins): Morris had not topped 52 rushing yards in three consecutive games before getting 18 carries for 98 yards with one reception for eight yards despite losing two fumbles last week against the Falcons. Morris will have another good game against a porous run defense in Dallas, which has allowed the most Fantasy points to RBs. They have allowed 11 rushing TDs the last 10 games.
Jordan Todman (Jaguars): If Maurice Jones-Drew is out again, Todman is an excellent start. Todman looked good against the Bills last week with 25 carries for 109 yards, and four receptions for 44 yards on eight targets. He will get another big workload against the Titans, who allow the fourth most Fantasy points to RBs and 18 rushing TDs.
Ryan Mathews (Chargers): Mathews has rushed for at least 100 yards in three of the last five games, including two straight. He has 29 carries in each of the last two games. Mathews has scored in three of the last four games and has 11 receptions in that span. The Raiders have allowed six rushing TDs in the last three games.
Andre Brown (Giants): It is difficult to trust anyone on the Giants offense. Outside of LeSean McCoy’s 217 rushing yards in the snow in Week 14, the Lions have not allowed any running back to eclipse 56 rushing yards since Week 5.
Rashard Mendenhall (Cardinals): Mendenhall has five rushing TDs in the last five games and it is highly unlikely he scores in Week 16 against the Seahawks, who have not allowed a rushing TD to a RB since Week 7 when Mendenhall scored. He had 13 carries for 22 yards in that game.
Steven Jackson (Falcons): Jackson has scored five times in the last four games, including two last week, but the task is arduous this week against the 49ers, who have allowed the ninth fewest Fantasy points to RBs. The 49ers have allowed three rushing TDs in the last eight games.
Julian Edelman (Patriots): I don’t think many realize that Edelman has 89 receptions on the season. Edelman has 51 targets in the last four games and the volume will continue as he has the trust of Tom Brady. He has 37 receptions for 414 yards and four TDs the last four games. It’s difficult to bench Edelman.
Michael Crabtree (49ers): With three games played since returning from injury and Crabtree looking better, it’s safe to rely on him if needed. He had five catches for 45 yards with a TD last week and gets a great matchup against the Falcons.
Kendall Wright (Titans): After getting at least 14 points in PPR formats for four consecutive weeks, Wright had two catches for 17 yards in Week 14. He bounced back in a big way last week with 12 catches for 150 yards on 20 targets. Wright has 85 receptions and he will get more targets against the Jaguars, who have allowed seven TDs to wide receivers in the last five games.
Hakeem Nicks (Giants): One might think that Nicks gets a boost with Victor Cruz likely sidelined this week. That’s not the case despite the good matchup against the Lions, who allow the third most Fantasy points to WRs. He has 51 yards or less in six of seven games and doesn’t look like the player from two years ago.
Harry Douglas (Falcons): Douglas has cooled off, catching just seven of 14 targets the last two games for 57 yards. It won’t get easier this week against the 49ers, who allowed the fourth fewest points to WRs.
Miles Austin (Cowboys): Another situation where some might think Austin gets elevated due to the potential absence of Terrance Williams, but that’s not the case despite the good matchup against the Redskins. Austin is struggling to get open and he’s dropping passes. Austin has caught five of 16 passes in the last four games.
Delanie Walker (Titans): Walker has at least nine targets in three of the last four games and Ryan Fitzpatrick has a good rapport with him. Walker had eight catches for 53 yards with a TD in a great matchup last week against the Cardinals. The Jaguars have allowed the second most Fantasy points to tight ends.
Martellus Bennett (Bears): Jay Cutler likes to target Bennett. In his first game back last week, Cutler targeted Bennett six times and Bennett caught all of them for 71 yards. Cutler also looks for Bennett in the red zone.
Brandon Myers (Giants): After scoring in three consecutive games, Myers had three receptions for 37 yards last week against the Seahawks. The Giants offense is struggling and the Lions allow the second fewest Fantasy points to tight ends.
Coby Fleener (Colts): Fleener hasn’t been involved in the offense as much the last few weeks. He didn’t record a reception last week and had eight catches for 81 yards combined the previous two games. Fleener will face the Chiefs this week and they allowed the fewest Fantasy points to tight ends.
Phil Dawson (49ers): Dawson has been very consistent and hit at least two field goals in six consecutive games, including 11-for-11 the last three games. The 49ers will have no problem getting into scoring range against the Falcons.
Jay Feely (Cardinals): It’s going to be a rough week for the Cardinals in Seattle. Some offensive players have injuries and the Seahawks are a tough matchup in Seattle.
Detroit Lions: The Giants are a dream matchup for a Fantasy defense. Eli Manning has thrown 25 interceptions and taken nine sacks the last three weeks.
Arizona Cardinals: The Cardinals are an excellent defense, but the Seahawks are not a good matchup for defenses to score points.
Photo Credit: Football Schedule