RotoExperts Fantasy Mailbag: Cardinals Receiver Michael Floyd Set For Breakout Year
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I am in a slow 12-team PPR draft and in round 10 right now. I want to take my fourth wide receiver and choosing between Michael Floyd, Alshon Jeffrey, DeAndre Hopkins and Kendall Wright. Who do I select?
The Arizona Cardinals offense is going to be improved and it will be better than many people anticipate. Fantasy owners will benefit from Bruce Arians taking over as coach and the addition of Carson Palmer at quarterback. Palmer is a huge upgrade over the Cardinals quarterbacks of last season, who combined to throw 11 TDs and 21 INTs. Protecting Palmer will be the key, but there are a lot of weapons on this team and Arians will get the most out of them. Larry Fitzgerald will bounce back in huge fashion, and with him drawing so much attention and double-teams, Floyd will often be in single coverage. Floyd is my pick and he will have a breakout season. Floyd was a first-round pick last season and started slowly. Over the final nine games, he produced better numbers than Fitzgerald with 37 catches for 471 yards and a TD. He capped the season with eight receptions for 166 yards and a TD. Arians likes to throw the ball downfield in a vertical offense and Floyd will thrive in this role. Floyd is 6-foot-3, 220 pounds and very athletic. Draft Floyd.
My league changed this year and has a quarterback eligible in the flex spot. Does that make quarterback a higher priority for early round draft picks and, if so, how early?
It absolutely changes the landscape when drafting quarterbacks. I have been preaching to wait on quarterback this season since the position is deep, but that is in leagues in which you start one quarterback. That philosophy changes in a league where two quarterbacks start and that’s essentially what this league is. Quarterbacks in most leagues score the most points, so everyone should start a quarterback in the flex spot. When to take the quarterbacks will depend on where you pick and the flow of the draft. Depending on the starting lineup, in most instances I would take a quarterback in the first round. If it’s a 10-team league, you can wait a little bit to get the second quarterback. If it’s 12-teams or more, it might have to be earlier. There’s no set formula, but taking a quarterback early is the savvy play in two quarterback leagues.
I am in a 12-team PPR dynasty league. We play 2 RBs, 2 WRs and 3 Flex (RB/WR). I have DeMarco Murray, Steven Jackson, Matt Forte, C.J Spiller and Darren McFadden at running back, and Larry Fitzgerald, Eric Decker, Vincent Jackson, Hakeem Nicks and Jordy Nelson at receiver. I was offered Doug Martin for Murray and Decker. Should I make the trade?
The way this team is composed it makes sense to pull the trigger on the trade. There is a lot of depth here, even with three flexes being used in the starting lineup. Martin is going top three in every draft and often No. 1 overall in some. He’s a second-year running back that is the feature in his offense with no competition for touches. Martin had 319 carries for 1,454 yards rushing with 11 TDs, and he caught 49 passes for 472 yards with a TD. Murray is talented, but has been injury prone going back to his college career. He has missed nine games in his first two seasons, and with the running backs you have and your depth at wide receiver, he is expendable. Decker had a career season in 2012, with 85 catches for 1,064 yards and 13 TDs. His numbers will take a hit with the addition of Wes Welker, but he’s still a good red zone target with his size. Decker is the No. 5 wide receiver on your team and since you are trading for an elite, young running back it makes sense to give him up. When one does a good job and stacks talent, trades like this can be completed. That’s an excellent job and the team looks excellent at these positions. I just hope your quarterback isn’t Christian Ponder or Mark Sanchez.
Need one out of Wei-Yin Chen, Samuel Deduno, Scott Kazmir, Jacob Turner or Jenrry Mejia.
The guy that stands out is Chen. He has pitched very well since coming off the disabled list, pitching at least seven innings in three of the four games he’s started in since returning. In that span of 28 innings, he has allowed 25 hits, eight earned runs while walking six and striking out 19 for a record of 3-0. Overall, he is 6-3 with a 2.87 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. Chen has excellent control as displayed by a six percent walk rate. He isn’t striking out as many batters as last season with a 15.2 strikeout percentage, but he will help in other areas. Chen has been fortunate with a low 4.9 percent home run/fly ball rate, so home runs could be an issue, but all these pitchers have some flaws. Chen has the least and also pitches on the best team of the group.
I have Brandon Beachy and need to drop one of these to add him: Jeff Samardzjia, Doug Fister, Ervin Santana, Tony Cingrani, Wei-Yen Chen and Chris Archer. I added Cingrani when Johnny Cueto went to the DL, so I’m thinking of all of these he may be the best to drop, but what about Beachy long-term?
Why are you so enamored with Beachy? He’s no lock to produce. He’s coming off Tommy John surgery and control can be an issue for a guy coming back early on. In fact, it has been for Beachy; in his rehab stint he walked 20 batters in 40 innings. In his first major league game against the Rockies, he went 3 2/3 innings and allowed eight hits, seven earned runs, walked one, allowed two home runs and struck out five. The velocity was about the same as it was before the surgery. There are instances where Beachy could be a solid option, but there are no pitchers listed that should be cut for Beachy.
All statistics entering August 2.