Welcome to Lenny’s RotoXList, the new column that appears twice weekly on RotoExperts.com from Fantasy Sports industry legend Lenny Melnick. You can now catch Lenny on RotoRadio three times a week right here, or listen on demand. His new podcast airs Mondays, Wednesdays and Fridays at 8 am ET and is always available for downloads at this link. You can also catch Lenny on Sirius/XM Fantasy Sports Radio (Sirius 210, XM 87) along with Tony Cincotta on the RotoExperts weekend editions (Saturdays and Sundays at 10 am to 1 pm ET) and the Monday night show (8 pm to 11 ET).
On our weekend edition of the RotoExperts in the morning on Sirius/XM Fantasy Sports Radio, which airs on Saturdays 7-10am ET on Sirius/XM Fantasy Sports Radio, I posed the question, ”What has been the Biggest Surprise this year in Fantasy Baseball? This question powered most of the show and generated a lot of feedback on social media. Here are the results based on a combination of the listener and reader responses along with my own input.
Biggest Negative Surprises of 2013 So Far:
Cole Hamels: Considered among the Fantasy elite entering this season, Hamels has fallen to 2-11 with a 4.58 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. These numbers are less than pedestrian, and make Hamels a huge surprise.
Josh Hamilton: His recent 11-for-27 streak does not diminish the disappointment for those who drafted Hamilton: .225 BA, 10 HRs is a long way from last year’s .281 BA and 32 HRs.
Ike Davis: From 32 HRs to Triple A.
Josh Reddick: He was a surprise last year with 32 HRs. Josh has now “upped” his HR total to 3. Was the 2012 season a fluke?
Starlin Castro: We expected an up-and-coming “star”. We are getting a “down and out dud”. Is it talent or attitude that is holding Castro back?
B.J. Upton: How low can he go? Even if you didn’t like him at the draft, B.J. is still a negative surprise. Easy to say buy low, but with 91 Ks in 248 AB’s, I wonder if it is worth acquiring him.
Biggest Positive Surprises of 2013 So Far
Yasiel Puig: After a glorious spring training, it’s really not that big of a surprise.
Patrick Corbin: I projected Corbin at a 3.95 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 12 wins. I had a chance to keep Corbin and let him go before the draft. His 2.49 ERA, 1.01 WHIP and 9 wins is a shocker!
Chris Davis: He hit 30 HRs last year, so you still knew he could hit 40 this season. His .332 BA is what has really impressed me the most, but don’t count on it continuing.
Edward Mujica: I don’t care if you were in a 50-team NL-Only League, Mujica still would not have been drafted.
Everth Cabrera: A 305 BA with 31 SBs, and he had a DL stint, too. Many leagues will be won with Cabrera if he ends up with 60 SBs.
Jeff Locke: He is 8-1 with a 2.12 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP and was undrafted everywhere. If you say you were not surprised, I don’t believe you!
Pick your biggest surprise! Hit me up @lennymelnick. Did I leave anyone out? Let me know!