Welcome to SportsGrid’s new, daily feature, where we tell you what sports are on TV tonight. Then, I do my best to help you win some money while watching. You know, if you’re into that sort of thing, and gambling is legal in your jurisdiction. Feel free to tweet hateful things at me if my advice moves you to do so. TV games are often the toughest games to find an edge on, so don’t go crazy, people. If I do recommend a bet, I’ll keep track of it, so you can tell me how awful (or wonderful?) I am. For record-keeping, we’ll assume a standard bet is $10. Occasionally, there will be 2x or 3x bets, maybe 4 or 5 if I’m feeling spunky. Good luck, America!
Important note: Money you make in the playoffs isn’t worth more than money you make in the regular season. Stay disciplined.
NHL Playoffs: Red Wings (+175) at Blackhawks (-190) (8:00 p.m., NBCSN)
We’ve got a series with two teams that give up almost no goals. Yet only one that scores a lot of goals (Chicago). Two very good goalies.
A few odd stats: Chicago is 29th in 5-on-4 +/-. That is shockingly awful. They were 19th in power play percentage. Chicago had the second-fewest penalty minutes per game in the NHL. Detroit the fourth-fewest. That would imply a lot of five-on-five play.
Basically, I think Chicago is the better team, but I think this will be a low-scoring game, and I can’t back the Hawks at -190. I will probably bet the under all series long, unless the price rises significantly, or I see something I don’t like.
UNDER 5 (-105), $20 to win $19.05
NBA Playoffs: Bulls at Heat (-14.5) (7:00 p.m., TNT)
The Bulls covered and won outright as 13-point underdogs in Game 1, but Miami has won and covered three straight. I refuse to bet an NBA team at -14.5, though, even if that team is the Heat.
You’d have to think the Bulls will be better than last game, where they scored just 65 points (right?!?!?). But, that doesn’t mean they’ll cover the spread. If you bet this game, you’re either a degenerate, or smarter than I am. (The latter is very possible.)
NBA Playoffs: Grizzlies at Thunder (-4.5) (9:30 p.m., TNT)
So, we’re sitting pretty with a $40 to win $60 ticket on the Grizz to win the series. I don’t see a reason to hedge that bet, because it looks like a winner. I suppose I’d lean to the Grizzlies tonight, but no reason to bet.
Let’$ go Grizzlie$
None, enjoy the playoffs!
Record in games actually worth risking money on: 170-113 (+$367.97)
What else is on:
MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL
7 p.m. | ESPN
Boston at Tampa Bay
Lines taken from 5dimes.eu (with reduced juice) and betonline.ag