Welcome to SportsGrid’s new, daily feature, where we tell you what sports are on TV tonight. Then, I do my best to help you win some money while watching. You know, if you’re into that sort of thing, and gambling is legal in your jurisdiction. Feel free to tweet hateful things at me if my advice moves you to do so. TV games are often the toughest games to find an edge on, so don’t go crazy, people. If I do recommend a bet, I’ll keep track of it, so you can tell me how awful (or wonderful?) I am. For record-keeping, we’ll assume a standard bet is $10. Occasionally, there will be 2x or 3x bets, maybe 4 or 5 if I’m feeling spunky. Good luck, America!
We’re on a roll, doods. Tonight’s a slow night, because the NBA is hard to bet on. But let’s try and make a couple hundred pennies.
NBA Playoffs: Bulls at Nets (-6) (7:00 p.m., TNT)
The line for the other two Nets home games were -5 and -5.5. Should this be higher than those? Probably not, but a half point increase doesn’t create value. Brooklyn *should* win, and they *should* have won last game. This is a must-win game, at home, but this isn’t a team you want to bet on. If you must light your money on fire, take the points and bet the Bulls. I’d lean under 180.5, too, but I don’t love it.
Pass, lean Bulls and UNDER
NBA Playoffs: Pacers at Hawks (-1.5) (7:30 p.m., NBATV)
The Pacers routed the Hawks at home, covering in both games. They were then routed on the road. Atlanta won and covered the 2-point spread. Then again, Indiana shot just 27.2% in that game (holy jesus), and actually outscored the Hawks by three in the second half. They are the better team, and if they’re not as putrid in the first half tonight, I think they’ll show that they should’ve been favorites, even on the road.
Pacers +1.5 (-105), $2.50 to win $2.38
NBA Playoffs: Thunder (-1) at Rockets (9:30 p.m., TNT)
The Thunder lead 3-0, and just beat the Rockets, 104-101, despite Russell Westbrook’s absence. It was mostly due to Kevin Durant going nuts. Gun to my head, I think Houston pulls it off this time. But this spread is fair, and I’m not sure where there’s value. You could argue that desperation means Houston should win, just as easily as you could argue that Durant will want to put the nail in the coffin, without Westbrook around.
Pass, lean Rockets
None, enjoy the playoffs.
Record in games actually worth risking money on: 144-98 (+$277.89)
What else is on:
MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL
7 p.m. | ESPN
Washington at Atlanta
Lines taken from 5dimes.eu (with reduced juice) and betonline.ag