Welcome to SportsGrid’s new, daily feature, where we tell you what sports are on TV tonight. Then, I do my best to help you win some money while watching. You know, if you’re into that sort of thing, and gambling is legal in your jurisdiction. Feel free to tweet hateful things at me if my advice moves you to do so. TV games are often the toughest games to find an edge on, so don’t go crazy, people. If I do recommend a bet, I’ll keep track of it, so you can tell me how awful (or wonderful?) I am. For record-keeping, we’ll assume a standard bet is $10. Occasionally, there will be 2x or 3x bets, maybe 4 or 5 if I’m feeling spunky. Good luck, America!
Sorry for my absence Monday and Tuesday, I was busy paying money to be sad. Let’s make some of my tear-money back.
NHL: Red Wings (+172) at Blackhawks (-187) (8:30 p.m., NHLN)
The Blackhawks have a commanding lead on the No. 1 seed in the Western Conference, and a somewhat comfortable lead on the NHL’s No. 1 overall seed. The Red Wings are barely hanging on to the final playoff spot in the West. Chicago has no holes (besides their strangely crappy power play, which is a concern), and the Red Wings are mediocre all around.
Based on season-long results, this price seems fair. But the Red Wings were actually pretty good at the beginning of the year, and have been awful, lately, according to advanced stats.
It’s hard to see Chicago losing here, and I think there’s a bit of value even at this price.
Blackhawks ML (187), $10 to win $5.35
NBA: Celtics at Heat (-12.5) (7:30 p.m., NBATV)
I hate betting on the NBA, but the (Miami) Big Three is back, and Boston will be missing Paul Pierce and Kevin Garnett (and Rajon Rondo). I can’t not bet this.
Heat -12.5 (-102), $5 to win $4.90
Cocaine everywhere (-1000000), $100,000 to win $10
MLB: Mets ML (-108), $10 to win $9.26
Dodgers/Nationals ML Parlay (+189.4), $10 to win $18.94
NHL: Coyotes team total OVER 2.5 (-145) $30 to win $20.69
Devils/Senators UNDER 5 (-110), $20 to win $18.18
Record in games actually worth risking money on: 111-80 (+$79.60)
What else is on:
MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL
7 p.m. | MLB Network
Regional coverage, Atlanta at Washington or Philadelphia at Miami
7 p.m. | WGN
Chicago White Sox at Cleveland
10 p.m. | NBATV
Oklahoma City at Portland
Lines taken from 5dimes.eu (with reduced juice) and betonline.ag