Welcome to SportsGrid’s new, daily feature, where we tell you what sports are on TV tonight. Then, I do my best to help you win some money while watching. You know, if you’re into that sort of thing, and gambling is legal in your jurisdiction. Feel free to tweet hateful things at me if my advice moves you to do so. TV games are often the toughest games to find an edge on, so don’t go crazy, people. If I do recommend a bet, I’ll keep track of it, so you can tell me how awful (or wonderful?) I am. For record-keeping, we’ll assume a standard bet is $10. Occasionally, there will be 2x or 3x bets, maybe 4 or 5 if I’m feeling spunky. Good luck, America!
College Basketball: Baylor at Oklahoma State (-7) (7:00 p.m., ESPN)
As usual, Scott Drew’s Baylor squad is talented, athletic and enigmatic. This is a revenge game for Oklahoma State, but they’re coming off an emotional win over Kansas, and might come out flat. This is a classic letdown spot, after a monster win. And Baylor is desperate.
Since this spread would be fair disregarding motivation, there’s a bit of value on Baylor, even though they’re a tough team to count on. If they can’t cover here, they can’t be trusted.
Baylor +7, $10 to win $9.09 AND Baylor ML +260, $1.50 to win $3.90
College Basketball: Marquette (-4.5) at South Florida (7:00 p.m., ESPN2)
South Florida isn’t very good, and Marquette is. But this is a big spread for teams that play really slowly. Marquette should win easily, but there’s no need to lay 4.5 here. It’s worth taking a flier on the Golden Eagles, first half, though, as they’ll try to make a statement following a beating at Louisville.
Marquette -2.5 (-105) FH, $5 to win $4.77
NBA: San Antonio (-4.5) at Minnesota (7:00 p.m., ESPN2)
Tim Duncan is out. Kevin Love is out. Just FYI, people.
The Wolves are on an awful 3-12 run against the spread. The Spurs have been fine ATS without Duncan. There’s a good chance Tony Parker torches Ricky Rubio, and there’s a good chance they cover a pretty big spread on the road. Worth another half-sized bet.
Spurs -4.5 , $5 to win $4.55
NHL: Boston (-105) at Montreal (-105) (7:30 p.m., NBCSN)
Montreal has been the better team so far, but Boston is a Cup favorite. There’s not much of an edge here on either side. But these are two great defensive teams with incredible goaltending. There’s a lot of value on the under, at plus-money. Tukka Rask’s 1-6-1 record in Montreal is troubling, but there’s no reason to think this is a bad play.
UNDER 5 (+116), $10 to win $11.60
WC Qualifying Soccer: Jamaica at Mexico -2 (-105) (9:30 p.m., ESPN2)
Mexico is almost unstoppable at home, and has outscored Jamaica 15-1 in qualifying matches over the past 16 years. There’s no need to make a huge bet on a -2 spread in soccer (which is huge), but this is worth a small play.
Mexico -2 (-105), $5 to win $4.76
Bonus Bets! College Basketball: Iowa +8.5, $20 to win $18.18 AND ML +370, $3 to win $11.10…
NHL: Ducks ML +106, $20 to win $21.20 AND Ducks -1.5 (+260), $3 to win $7.80
What else is on: College Basketball: Connecticut at St. John’s (7:00 p.m., ESPNU); Kansas at TCU (9:00 p.m., ESPNU); Mike Tyson guests on Law & Order: SVU.
Record in games actually worth risking money on: 10-6 (+$5.71)
Lines taken from 5dimes.eu and betonline.ag