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MLB · 3 weeks ago

Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview

Sportsgrid-Staff

Rays @ Yankees – First Pitch: 7:05 p.m.

Expected Forecast: Few Clouds, 74°
 

Betting Preview: Tampa Bay Rays Take on New York Yankees at Home

The Tampa Bay Rays meet the New York Yankees in an intriguing AL East clash. Tampa opened as the favorite, a testament to their season’s strength, while the Yankees, while hot, opened as home dogs.

 

Spread, Total, Moneyline, and Odds:

  Spread Total Moneyline  
 Rays -1.5  +136  O 8.5  -110  -121  Open
+142  8.5  -109  -115  Current
 Yankees +1.5   -161  U 8.5  -110  +102  Open
 -168  8.5   -112  -105  Current

Projected Lineups:

Rays

Starting Pitcher: Drew Rasmussen: 3-2, 3.11 ERA, 9.56 K/9

1. 1B  Yandy Díaz   .317, 9 HR, 19 RBI
2. SS  Wander Franco   .310, 7 HR, 23 RBI
3. LF  Randy Arozarena   .319, 9 HR, 30 RBI
4. 2B  Brandon Lowe   .193, 7 HR, 20 RBI
5. DH  Harold Ramírez   .316, 6 HR, 15 RBI
6. 3B  Isaac Paredes   .254, 4 HR, 21 RBI
7. RF  Josh Lowe   .309, 7 HR, 20 RBI
8. C  Christian Bethancourt   .228, 6 HR, 14 RBI
9. CF  Jose Siri   .208, 3 HR, 11 RBI

Pitching Performance Analysis: Rasmussen vs. German

Drew Rasmussen leads the Rays with an impressive 3.90 xFIP this season, striking out roughly 26% of batters. His splits are remarkable, with a .251 weighted on-base average against lefties and .294 against righties. Both left, and right-handers have low ISO power numbers against him.

Yankees

Starting Pitcher: Domingo Germán: 2-2, 4.35 ERA, 10.07 K/9

1. SS  Anthony Volpe   .205, 4 HR, 13 RBI
2. RF  Aaron Judge   .273, 6 HR, 16 RBI
3. 1B  Anthony Rizzo   .302, 6 HR, 17 RBI
4. 2B  Gleyber Torres   .258, 6 HR, 17 RBI
5. 3B  DJ LeMahieu   .277, 5 HR, 18 RBI
6. DH  Willie Calhoun   .241, 2 HR, 6 RBI
7. CF  Harrison Bader   .429, 3 HR, 11 RBI
8. LF  Isiah Kiner-Falefa   .192, 0 HR, 2 RBI
9. C  Jose Trevino   .218, 3 HR, 11 RBI

Domingo German enters with a 4.12 xFIP this season on the Yankees’ side. His splits show a .242 weighted on-base average against lefties and .299 against righties. However, his ISO power numbers are slightly elevated, which could be a concern.

Batting Lineup & Game Trends

New York’s lineup has been heating up lately, which could test Rasmussen. On the other hand, the Rays, typically strong at the plate, have been slightly off their game recently, even struggling to score against Baltimore.

Interestingly, the Yankees’ home games have leaned towards the under, but their series against the Athletics bucked this trend with every game going over. This inconsistency brings an element of unpredictability to the game.

Betting Insights:

Rays

  • The Tampa Bay Rays are 10-5 (.667) on the road as a favorite in 2023
  • The over hit in 2 of the Tampa Bay Rays last 5 games on the road in 2023

Yankees

  • The over hit in 7 of the New York Yankees last 22 games at home in 2023

Betting Implications

With Rasmussen’s form and the Yankees’ inconsistent home game trends, the game’s total post at 8.5 seems interesting. Given the Rays’ ability to occasionally explode offensively, bettors should be cautious.

In conclusion, the Rays being favorites may not be entirely justified considering the current factors. With their improving batting lineup and the Rays’ recent dip in form, the Yankees may present a valuable opportunity for bettors.

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