SNF: Week 3 Packers-Saints Betting Preview
Before we jump into this week, let’s take a look at how we did last Sunday on the Patriots and Seahawks SNF matchup. D.K. Metcalf (+155) and Tyler Lockett (+145) both paid off, scoring touchdowns while Greg Olsen did not see the end zone.
While Cam Newton did score the Patriots’ first offensive touchdown, he didn’t bring in that juicy +1200 by scoring the game’s first major. The former Panther did pay off in our other two recommended best bets, scoring a touchdown (+230), make that two touchdowns (+1800), and was a yard away from scoring his third to pull off the upset comeback in the game’s dying seconds.
On the point spread, Seattle covered four points (-105), and the 35-30 win hit the predicted winning margin of 1-6 (+130) but failed to cover the alternate spread of -6.5 (+130).
Like Meatloaf said, “two out of three ain’t bad,” and in the gambling world, six out of nine is even better. Let’s keep the payouts coming this week with all our odds coming from our friends at FanDuel.
This Sunday night features a battle of sure-fire Hall of Fame quarterbacks, one at the top of his game and the other trying to find his future gold jacket form.
Aaron Rodgers has been one of the league’s best quarterbacks early on, averaging 305 pass yards a game to go along with six touchdown passes with no interceptions. Rodgers has led the Packers to a 2-0 record while putting up a league-best 42.5 points per game. Green Bay is also leading the league with 510.5 yards per game and looks to be firing on all cylinders.
Offensive numbers could take a hit this week as 192 of those yards have gone to Davante Adams. Green Bay’s three-time Pro Bowl receiver hasn’t practiced all week and is doubtful for this one with a hamstring injury. A concentrated effort on the run game could be the answer with Rodgers’ top passing weapon on the shelf.
Best Bets: Aaron Rodgers under 253.5 Passing Yards (-110), Aaron Jones over 69.5 Rushing Yards (-110), To Score two-plus Touchdowns: Aaron Jones (+330).
Drew Brees, on the other hand, has looked, well, old. The 41-year-old is averaging just 236 pass yards per game, well below his career average of 281. The NFL’s 20th-ranked passing game has really struggled to move the ball at times, especially last week against the Raiders. Vegas is no iron curtain, allowing 406 yards per game, sixth-worst in the league, making it that much more surprising to have seen the Saints offense sputter for the better part of three quarters.
Michael Thomas is out with an ankle injury, so expect a healthy dose of Alvin Kamara in this game.
Best Bets: Alvin Kamara over 68.5 Rushing Yards (-110), Alvin Kamara over 48.5 Receiving Yards (-110), Drew Brees Under 273.5 Passing Yards (-110).
The defenses have pretty much mirrored one another. New Orleans is allowing 343.5 yards per game while Green Bay is giving up 344.5 yards per game. Both teams give up just over 100 rush yards per game while the Packers are giving up 233 yards in the air, and New Orleans has allowed 242.5 pass yards per game. On the scoreboard, the Packers have allowed 27.5 points per game and the Saints 28.5.
Best Bets: Packers cover alternate spread -2.5 (+160), winning margin: Packers 1 to 6 (+380), Packers Cover +3 (+100) and moneyline (+138), over 52.5 (-115).
Quick Hit Trends
Packers are 5-1 against the spread in their last 6 games on turf.
The favorite is 6-1 against the spread in their last 7 meetings.
Over is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.
Over is 4-0 in Packers last 4 games.
Over is 5-0 in Saints last 5 games in Week 3.