NCAA Football Week 15 Utah vs Colorado Betting Preview
The Utah Utes hit the road this weekend as they head to Colorado for a Pac-12 conference matchup. The game was originally scheduled for Friday but has now moved to Saturday morning. Utah comes off a 6-point home win vs. Oregon State, while Colorado heads into this weekend after an 11-point road win vs. Arizona.
Let’s look at where the value is at in this one.
Odds (via FanDuel)
• Utah: +102
• Colorado: -124
• Utah +1.5: -108
• Colorado -1.5: -112
• Over 47.5: -110
• Under 47.5: -110
Key Points to Consider
Some Numbers: Much of Utah’s production comes on the ground behind their two-headed RB attack led by Ty Jordan and Devin Brumfield. They get set to face a Colorado team that gave up close to 270 yards on the ground last week vs. Utah. On average, Colorado gives up 148 rushing yards per game.
Covering the Spread: Going back to last season, Utah is 7-1 covering the spread following a win their last time out. They beat Oregon State last week, 30-24. They have also covered 9 of their last 12 Pac-12 conference games going back to last season.
Betting on the Total: Odds indicate there’s a 52-to-53% chance the total combined score gets to at least 48 points. That happens in 78% of AccuScore sims, suggesting quite a bit of added side value on the pick.
Total combined score in simulations is 61 points.
Projected QB Stats
For Utah, Jason Bentley is projected to finish with 246 passing yards on 19 completions, along with 42 rushing yards on 12-to-13 carries. He averages 1.8 TDs and 0.6 INTs per sim.
For Colorado, Sam Noyer is projected to finish with 238 passing yards on 20 completions. He averages 2 TDs overall and 0.5 INTs per sim.
Utah to cover.
Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick. We’re always interested when odds-makers and AccuScore simulation data are on opposite sides of the money line. Colorado is listed as slight home favorites, but Utah wins close to 60% of simulations. Average final score in simulations is 33-29, in favor of the road team.
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