The Most Important Matchups and Best Bets for Monday’s NBA Slate
There are eight games on deck for tonight’s NBA card. Both the Lakers and Trail Blazers are in action as both teams are now embroiled in a battle to finish higher than the seventh seed in the Western Conference to avoid the single-elimination playoff play-in tournament. With Portland’s game being covered as a best bet from our SportsGrid betting model, we’ll do a deep dive into the Lakers in our key matchup section. But first, let’s recap the day around the league on Sunday from a betting perspective.
Sunday was a bit of a mixed bag with away teams going 5-3 ATS. This season, we’ve seen away favorites be the most profitable of all categories, and they had another profitable day going 3-2 ATS. Underdogs were 4-4 ATS overall, but they went 2-1 ATS on the road.
Perhaps the two biggest surprises on the road were a Raptors 121-114 victory over the Lakers as a 10-point underdog and a Kings 111-99 victory over the Mavericks as a 6.5 underdog. The biggest underdog performance might go to the Thunder as they narrowly fell 123-120 at home against the Suns as a 15-point underdog.
Here’s how things stand thus far in the association: Away favorites remain the most profitable at 216-189-6 ATS (53.3%) this season. Underdogs are 465-487-11 ATS (48.8%) while home teams are 460-492-11 ATS (48.3%).
Over bettors have the slightest of leads as they’re 481-477 (50.2%).
Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Lakers
Let’s take a look at the Lakers, who haven’t quite gotten the boost they might have expected with Anthony Davis and LeBron James returning to the lineup. Los Angeles is 3-7 in their last 10 games, and they’re currently on a three-game losing streak, with two of those losses coming at home. They won’t get any sympathy on Monday night from a Nuggets team that lost one of their best players in Jamal Murray to a torn ACL.
This is a tough spot for the Lakers, who are still trying to get healthy while finding their rhythm again. This will be the third game in four nights for the Lakers, and they’re unlikely to overwork their players in pursuit of a win even after a disappointing loss on Sunday to the Raptors.
The Nuggets will also be playing their third game in four days, but the nucleus of their team is much younger than the Lakers as the average age of their players is 26.5 years compared to 29.1 years for Los Angeles. Denver has also won five straight games and nine of their last 10 games. It’s no surprise that Denver is the favorite in this matchup, and they’ve already been bet up 1.5 points after opening as a two-point favorite. A good amount of that action has been sharp money which has their sights set on fading the Lakers in this spot.
Notable Line Moves
- Nuggets -2 to -3.5
- Nuggets-Lakers 218 to 214.5
Best Bets from the SportsGrid Betting Model