MLB Betting Guide: Tuesday 10/6/20
numberFire has built comprehensive algorithms to pinpoint the bets with the highest probability of returning money, whether you are betting on the total, a line, or moneyline. For those new to numberFire, we use a five-star system to show which bets you should be targeting on any given night. Stars represent how much you should risk on a wager relative to what you would normally bet.
For example, if you would normally bet $110 to win $100 on a -110 spread wager, if we give a 3-star ranking, we suggest risking three times that amount: $330 to win $300.
Using our models as a guide, let’s take a look at the best bets to make at FanDuel Sportsbook.
Please note that lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. Please check here to make sure you’re seeing the most updated information.
<h3 “=””>Houston Astros at Oakland Athletics
Under 9.0 (-115): 4-Star Rating out 5
The pitching matchup pits Houston’s Framber Valdez against Oakland’s Sean Manaea. Valdez was outstanding in 2020, pitching to a 3.23 SIERA and 26.4% strikeout rate across 70 2/3 innings. Manaea had a 4.01 SIERA this season after posting a 3.82 SIERA in a small sample of 29 2/3 frames in 2018.
Offensively, Houston and Oakland ranked 18th and 16th, respectively, in wOBA this year, and both lineups struggled down the stretch — with Houston recording a .291 wOBA in September while the A’s held a .307 wOBA.
The line is set at 9.0 runs, and we see just 6.92 total runs being scored, projecting Houston to win 3.65-3.27. The under is a four-star bet.