AccuScore NCAA Football Game Preview – 12/5/2020, West Virginia vs No. 9 Iowa State
No. 9 Iowa State gets set to host West Virginia in a Big 12 matchup this Saturday afternoon as the home side Cyclones set their sights on the conference title. Iowa State is 7-1 in conference play so far this season.
Let’s look at where the value is at in this one.
Odds (via FanDuel)
• West Virginia: +198
• Iowa State: -250
• West Virginia +6.5: -114
• Iowa State -6.5: -106
• Over 49.5: -110
• Under 49.5: -110
Key Points to Consider
Offense: The road team’s offense enters this weekend averaging 29+ points per game. QB Jar-rett Doege has 13 TDs on the season compared to just 3 INTs.They get close to 450 yards of to-tal offense per game, resulting in AccuScore’s lean on the total as seen in the pick below.
Average final score in simulations is 39-29, in favor of Iowa State.
More Options: A new weapon has emerged for West Virginia in T.J. Simmons who now has 161 yards and 8 catches over his last two games.
Simmons is projected to finish this weekend’s game with 76 yards on 6 catches. He averages 0.5 TDs per sim.
ATS vs Sim Data: AccuScore simulations have the Cyclones covering a 6.5-point spread in 59% of simulations. West Virginia, however, is 5-1 covering the spread in their last six overall.
Projected QB Stats
For West Virginia, Jarret Doege is projected to finish with 259 yards on 24 comple-tions, along with 15 rushing yards on 5 carries. He averages 1.7 TDs and 0.5 INTs per sim.
For Iowa State, Brock Purdy is projected to finish with 299 yards on 23 completions, along with 76 rushing yards on 19 carries. He averages 3.4 TDs and 0.6 INTs per sim.
Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick. Average total combined score in simulations is 68.3 points. The OVER hits in ~85% of simulations.
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