AccuScore NFL Week 13 Bills vs 49ers – Monday Night Football Betting Preview
The Buffalo Bills head out west as they get set for a matchup with the San Francisco 49ers Monday night at State Farm Stadium in Arizona. COVID-19 guidelines and restrictions recently forced SF out of Santa Clara County in the Bay Area. a
Let’s look at where the value is at in this one.
Odds (via FanDuel)
· Buffalo Bills: -102
· San Francisco 49ers: -116
· Buffalo Bills +1.5: -114
· San Francisco 49ers -1.5: -106
· Over 46.5: -115
· Under 45.5: -105
Key Points to Consider
Some Numbers: Buffalo is No. 7 on the season in terms of their passing offense, but just No. 21 in terms of production on the ground. They’re No. 10 overall in scoring offense as they average 27.2 points per game heading into Monday night’s matchup.
They have been improving on the ground each week, though. They have put up 125 rushing yards or more in three of their last five games.
Buffalo is projected to be led by RB Devin Singletary on the ground. Singletary averages 55 rushing yards on 11 carries. He averages 0.5 TDs per sim.
Mullens Leading the Way: QB Nick Mullens took over for SF recently, recording six TDs and seven INTs so far. Buffalo’s defense is solid in terms of containing the aerial attack; SF will need to pound it on the ground early against the Buffalo defense ranked No. 25 against the run.
We’ll keep an eye on what kind of pressure Buffalo gets on Mullens early. SF’s offensive line have given up 27 QB sacks so far on the season, not a recipe for success against a Buffalo defense that’s ranked No. 9 in the league this season with 30 sacks so far.
ATS: Buffalo is 5-0, covering the spread when putting up 150 rushing yards or more their last time out.
Buffalo covers a 1.5-point spread in about 65% of simulations.
Projected QB Stats
For Buffalo, Josh Allen is projected to finish with 274 passing yards on 22 completions, along with 40 rushing yards on 7 carries. He averages 2.3 TDs and 0.4 INTs per sim.
For San Francisco, Nick Mullens is projected to finish with 266 passing yards on 25 completions. He averages 1.2 TDs and 1 INT per sim.
Buffalo to cover.
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick. We’re always interested when odds-makers and AccuScore simulation data are on opposite sides of the money line. SF is listed as slight home favorites, but Buffalo wins 63% of simulations. The average final score in simulations is 28-23, in favor of the road team.
Make sure to check all other MLB, NFL, NCAA, NHL, NBA, and soccer game predictions from AccuScore.