Daily Fantasy: UFC 183 Selections
UFC 183 is set for Saturday, Jan. 31 from the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas, Nev. The event will be televised on pay-per-view. For Daily Fantasy purposes, nine bouts will be available for selection, so we will not provide picks from the undercard. The evening culminates with a five-round middleweight bout between heavy favorite Anderson Silva (-500) and Nick Diaz (+400).
In other news, looking ahead to UFC on FOX 15, Ovince Saint-Preux and Patrick Cummins will do battle in an increasingly interesting card, which will also feature Vitor Miranda facing Jersey boy Nick Catone in the Newark event April 18. The headliners will be Luke Rockhold taking on Lyoto Machida. We'll help provide you with Daily Fantasy picks for that event, as well as most top events between now and then.
Also, Chris Weidman (rib) is dealing with a rib injury, and his title defense aginst Vitor Belfort at UFC 184 set for March has been canceled. The bantamweight bout between Ronda Rousey and Cat Zingano will not be the new main event, with Holly Holm and Raquel Pennington taking over as the new top fight in L.A.
At DraftKings, you pick a roster of five players with a salary cap of $50,000. Here are a handful of guys you'll love.
(***UPDATED - Saturday, Jan. 31 - 2:37am ET)
Sara McMann ($10500 vs Miesha Tate): McMann rolls into this bout against Miesha 'Cupcake' Tate with eight victories in nine career decisions. He only loss came at UFC 170 against powerhouse Ronda Rousey. Tate has dropped three of her past six bouts, including a pair of submission losses against Rousey during the span. McMann is a prohibitive favorite (-240) in this one, and you'll get some value here if she can put Tate away early. When Tate has lost, it has been by submission or KO/TKO, and not since 2009 has she lost by unanimous decision.
Jordan Mein ($10200 vs Thiago Alves): The Canuck, a.k.a. Young Gun, has put away opponents early and often. Over his past five bouts, he has won three by KO/TKO in the first round. In fact, he has had 18 of his 29 fights result in KO/TKO, and 16 have been in his favor. Look for Mein to try to quickly end Alves' evening, and if so, treat you to a solid return in Daily Fantasy points.
Rafael Natal ($10700 vs Tom Watson): Natal enters the octagon with losses in two of his past three bouts, including a unanimous decision against fellow UFC 183 fighter Ed Herman (who faces huge favorite Derek Brunson -600). Natal has gone the distance in eight of his past 11 bouts, and he has never lost via submission. The Brit Watson has dropped three of his past five bouts, and he enters as a decent dog (+145). Look for Natal to squeak past Watson, with this one possibly going the distance.
BARGAIN and MID-LEVEL PLAYS
Joe Lauzon($9200 vs Al Iaquinta): Lauzon has rolled up impressive Daily Fantasy totals, posting an average of 66.1 Fantasy points per outing. He'll be up against it facing Al Iaquinta, but this match could be a slugfest that lasts a while. Sure, Lauzon has dropped three of his past six bouts, and he is just 6-5 in the past 11. However, of all the underdogs on the board, J-Lau has the best chance to score an upset due to Iaquinta's pedestrian 5-3 record over his past eight bouts.
John Lineker ($8900 vs Ian McCall): Lineker is a short dog in this fight, but he has the tools to make it a long night for Ian McCall. The Brazilian Lineker, nicknamed 'Hands of Stone', has won 18 of his past 20 bouts, with a setback Feb. 1, 2014 to Ali Bagautinov in UFC 169, which is certainly nothing to be ashamed about. His past four victories have all come via KO/TKO, and he'll look to introduce McCall to the same fate. However, each of McCall's past five bouts have gone the distance, and he has forced a decision in nine of the past 11 bouts. The longer the bout, win or lose, means plenty of time to rack up Daily Fantasy points via significant strikes (0.5 points), takedown (2 points), etc.
*** UPDATED -- Lineker and Kelvin Gastelum each missed their weight for UFC 183. After negotiations, the UFC announced both fighters will still fight. However, each were fined 30 percent of their purses, and the money goes to their opponents, McCall and Tyron Woodley. Lineker checked in at 130 pounds, more than four pounds above the limit. He has missed flyweight limit four times in his career. Woodley was furious that he will have to fight Gastelum at 170, 10 pounds over the class limit and the 1-pound margin of error.
LAST WEEK'S PICKS
Sultan Aliev ($9700) over Kenny Robertson (LOSS)
Anthony Johnson ($8800) over Alexander Gustafsson (WIN)
Gegard Mousasi ($11600) over Dan Henderson (WIN)
Stanislav Nedkov ($9400) over Nikita Krylov (LOSS)
Albert Tumenov ($10400) over Nico Musoke (WIN)
THIS WEEK'S PICKS (based on $50,000 salary - five fighters)
John Lineker ($8900) over Ian McCall
Sara McMann ($10500) over Miesha Tate
Jordan Mein ($10200) over Thiago Alves
Rafael Natal ($10700) over Tom Watson
Tyron Woodley ($9700) over Kelvin Gastelum
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