Last week, we talked about the “9 Best Bets to Be Busts in 2016 Fantasy Football Leagues,” which helped us get all of the negative energy out! This week, however, we’re pushing out nothing but positive thoughts, as we discuss nine players we believe have the best chances to have breakouts in 2016 Fantasy Football leagues.
I talked on my podcast (below) recently about how it’s much easier to write an article about busts than it is to write one about breakouts or sleepers. With busts, you can generally just pick out the players that have the most going against them, and explain why they have the best chances to disappoint, based on where they were drafted.
But with Fantasy Football breakouts, you have to find the great characteristics in good players – players everyone else already believes in enough to make them middle-round picks. Getting criticized for your breakouts is much easier, too!
For the record, a “Fantasy Football breakout player” is someone most people consider to be a middle-round talent this year, but that ends up producing like an early round draft pick. That’s much different from a Fantasy sleeper, who we consider a late-rounder (or undrafted player) that plays good enough to be a mid-rounder.
For instance, last season, we can look at mid-round picks like Devonta Freeman, Allen Robinson and Michael Floyd, as solid Fantasy Football breakouts.
Interestingly, naming several Fantasy breakouts for 2016 infinitesimally changes their draft value, making more people aware that someone believes their Fantasy ADP is lower than it should be. It’s like the “Observer Effect” in physics – the act of observing something influences how it acts, which changes what you are observing!
9 Best Bets To Be Breakouts For 2016 Fantasy Football
Over the years, I’ve come to understand generally when players have better chances to be breakouts in Fantasy Football, specifically when we’re talking about NFL experience. The following players are ones I believe will outproduce their current 2016 Fantasy value as mid-rounders. We’ll be using the Average Draft Rankings (ADP) for standard, non-PPR ,12-team leagues from FantasyPros.com, which combines ADP from several sources, including CBS, ESPN and Yahoo!.
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