Six Best Week 11 FanDuel DFS Contrarian Picks
Jake Ciely @allinkid of RotoExperts.com has his six best Week 11 FanDuel DFS contrarian picks.
Week 11 Blind Spot Players
In case you're new to this, the Fantasy Blind Spot refers to players that you want to target in tournaments, such as the Millionaire Maker, etc… contrarian players if you will. They usually have one of the following characteristics:
1) have been performing well but haven't had a breakout game or big enough numbers to get Fantasy players talking, and/or
2) are in a price range of other more popular option, and/or
3) have frustrated with disappointing performances but have a great matchup to finally break through
FanDuel Week 11 Sleepers
Eli Manning $7700 – Despite three games of 20-plus points in his last four, people still love to hate Manning. It's probably his stink face... but Manning is showing yet again that his ceiling can be as high as the greats. In those three games, Manning is averaging 300 yards and over three touchdowns. The Bears have allowed at least 228 yards and a touchdown in each of the last five games with Andrew Luck, Aaron Rodger and Jameis Winston averaging 320 and over two touchdowns in three of those matchups (other two were Blake Bortles and Sam Bradford). Hate the face, just don't hate the game.
LeSean McCoy $7500 – Given LeGarrette Blount's price being $200 cheaper, don't expect many McCoy owners this week. That's why you can reap the value if McCoy can put up a big day, and the matchup says that's likely, despite the assumption that the Bengals defense is one to avoid. McCoy has double-digit points in every game this year with three high scores of 19.8, 25.1 and 32.7. You can look for one of those against a Bengals defense allowing the 12th most FPPG to running backs. It's not an amazing number, but it shows their defense is not to be feared. Heck, they could stop Rashad Jennings late last week. In addition, the Bengals have allowed 384 yards and three touchdowns to running backs in the passing game. If you don't think the Bills and McCoy will look to take advantage of that, you're crazier than Rex Ryan is.
Latavius Murray $6400 – This has little to do with the three-touchdown game against the Broncos and more to do with the one way you beat the Texans is on the ground. The Texans are the third toughest matchup for receivers but rather weak against the run. In fact, before the Lions and Jaguars (you know how poor their rushing attacks are), the Raiders had given up at least 108 rushing yards or a touchdown in every game including three games with two rushing scores allowed. As for Murray, in games with at least 14 touches, he's averaging 20.1 points.
Rishard Matthews $6000 – Since Matthews started to see his usage/snaps increase in Week 6 (and the Titans stopped being knuckleheads), he's averaging 1.97 Fantasy points per target, more than anyone else with at least 25 targets on the year. Even if you only take the last four games where he was treated as a starter, the number is still 1.70, only behind Kendall Wright and Kenny Stills. The reason I included that one week difference is because many complain about his inconsistent target volume, but you can see that Matthews is highly productive on a per target basis and could do plenty with little. In fact, since Week 5, he's catching 72.7 percent of this passes. When you factor in a Colts defense that just allowed five touchdowns to receivers in the last two games, you can see the appeal with Matthews.
Steve Smith $5500 – If nothing else, it's fun owning Smith so you can root for this beast of a player. Smith has three double-digit games on the year, which makes him a good bet for 2x-plus value along with a 21.1-point outing against the Raiders. The Cowboys secondary has been decimated by injuries, and the receivers that have scored touchdowns against them are mainly No. 2 options and middle-of-the-field players (Sterling Shepard, Victor Cruz, Jamison Crowder, Jeremy Kerley, Brandon LaFell, Randall Cobb, Jordan Matthews, Terrelle Pryor, Antonio Brown and Eli Rogers). That sets Smith up for the bigger day than Mike Wallace (unless Wallace hauls in one of his 90-yard bombs, which is possible too).
C.J. Fiedorowicz $5100 – The Raiders are generally weak on defense, and when it comes to defending tight ends, they have allowed the eighth most FPPG. In fact, the Falcons and Chargers put up 20-plus points on the Raiders with their tight ends, and both the Jaguars and Buccaneers found the end zone. Fiedorowicz is a roller coaster of performances and is a tad touchdown reliant, but this is a matchup where he can score and find 3x value. Of course, Martellus Bennett and Julius Thomas are the obvious plays, but if you want to go contrarian, well, here you go.
Image via Getty
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