DraftKings Millionaire Maker Review: Week 2
Welcome to the DraftKings Millionaire Maker review, ladies, and gentlemen. This will be a weekly digest of the DraftKings' Millionaire Maker to give you an idea of what it took to win $1 million in addition to seeing what some of the top professional DFS minds did in this large-field GPP.
DK user ‘timwoodbury10' should switch that handle to ‘timwoodbury1000000' after taking home the $1 million prize in Week 2. Following a Week 1 that saw plenty of flops from highly-owned players, Week 2 was a bit of a chalkier slate. The newly-minted millionaire fired just one entry into the Milly Maker and the single bullet yielded him a seven-digit payday.
As we look at the roster construction, we see a commonly-used stacking technique: QB-pass catcher. In this case, it was not a WR, but rather the game's top TE in Rob Gronkowski paired with Tom Brady. Since the Patriots held an implied team total over 31 against an awful New Orleans' secondary, this was a chalky combination – yet it resulted in massive success. Ty Montgomery was the slate's highest owned player due to his exceptionally low price and tremendous matchup. He was a no-brainer play for lots of DFSers this week against a Falcons defense that just saw Tarik Cohen go bananas against it to open the season. Keenan Allen was also a popular pick at his price as Philip Rivers' main pass-catching target. He had a strong late drive that aided in topping the 100-yard mark to gather a nice bonus score. JJ Nelson was insanely cheap in a spot where he was primed to get plenty of looks with David Johnson and Jermaine Gresham both inactive. Last of the chalky plays was Kareem Hunt, who we all remembered had put up a near 50-spot in his first career game. Hunt ripped off a 53-yard TD run to cement a strong afternoon for fantasy owners – and even at a higher price tag, he was still quite highly owned.
That left the Milly Maker winner to swerve in a few spots and “go contrarian”. CJ Anderson had a truly astonishing day for the Broncos as they torched the Dallas Cowboys. He projected well in DailyRoto's value rankings and at just 4.5% ownership, he was a great GPP option. The real “slatebreaker” for ‘timwoodbury10' though was Jermaine Kearse. At just over 1% ownership, he slashed the Oakland Raiders' secondary for two TDs which put him in exceptional shape to be found in the winning lineup. No defenses had massive days like we saw last week, so the Cardinals' 10 DK point showing against the Colts was good enough to get the job done. Several other DFSers that were chasing the winner had the Ravens, who put up 17 against the Cleveland Browns at higher ownership, but they couldn't quite get the rest of the pieces along with that defensive stalwart.
The one player I am a bit surprised didn't make it into the winning lineup was Michael Crabtree. I know he was $7,100 on DK, but he had 32 DK points and I would've assumed that would have brought him into consideration for a GPP-winning spot. Now we'll take a look at the pro breakdown of the week – CONDIA. He was actually in the top spot in the Milly Maker for much of the day on Sunday, but was overpassed by ‘timwoodbury10' and another user in the SNF game.
CONDIA max entered (150x) and interestingly enough you don't see a lot of heavy concentration of ownership pairings with his lineups. Like ‘timwoodbury10', CONDIA found a way to pair Brady and Gronkowski several times for successful finishes in the Milly Maker, but outside of that, he didn't do much double-stacking (QB+WR+WR or QB+RB+WR). That being said, one thing I did notice was that he used Ty Montgomery as a correlation play in a lot of his Atlanta Falcons stacks. Now you're probably thinking, “Huh? Montgomery plays for the Packers…” and while yes, this is true, if Atlanta was going to put up points, the Packers would need to use Montgomery's dual-threat (running / catching) prowess to keep pace and score with the Falcons. He did this with Patriots/Saints stacks as well, including Brandon Coleman as a WR in some key Brady-Gronk duos. In sticking to his approach, however, he cost himself the potential at some serious upside by not pairing Montgomery with QB Aaron Rodgers and WR Davante Adams. Furthermore, how about Brady-Gronk-Hogan – those lineups were also nowhere to be found out of CONDIA's 150. He had just 7/150 teams with Adams, so that was a more sizable fade for him in this slate. His preferred Packers wideout target of choice – Jordy Nelson – got injured and put up 0 DKP.
While it is generally quite strongly advocated across the industry to go QB+WR+WR or QB+RB+WR, it is very interesting to see that both ‘timwoodbury10' and CONDIA were able to find success despite going this route.
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