League of Legends DraftKings Picks For April 18th (3:00 AM ET Slate)
Here are some LoL (League of Legends) elements that are relevant for us moving forward.
-There are six positions you’ll have to fill in your LoL lineups. Top, Jungle (JNG), Middle (MID), Attack Damage Carry (ADC), Support (SUP) and Team. The former five are actual positions that players take in the map, while Team is just an additional one that DraftKings added and will accrue less scoring. In other words, Team is the least important position when it comes to roster construction.
-LoL is a lot like baseball stacking wise. However, you want to stack players from a single team, not games. Stacking is pivotal in LoL DFS, particularly 4-3 and 3-3-1 stacks.
-Game stacking isn’t a winning proposition over the long run because ultimately, there’s a losing team. If you look at the statistics of losing teams in LoL, you’ll notice they will lack engagements (kills, creeps score), which ultimately hurts their score. However, there are losing teams that are aggressive and if you’re picking underdogs, you want to make sure they’re going after engagements.
-Speaking of engagements – you want to make sure that the players you select are looking for fights as often as possible. More fights = more opportunity for points. Simple enough, right?
League of Legends LPL Vegas Odds
Vici Gaming (-1533) vs. Victory Five (+926)
FunPlus Phoenix (-684) vs. Rogue Warriors (+484)
Suning (+212) vs. Royal Never Give Up (-266)
DAMWON Gaming (+120) vs. KT Rolster (-146)
Bin – SofM – Angel – huanfeng – SwordArt
Royal Never Give Up
Langx – XLB – Xiaohu – Betty – Ming
GimGoon – Tian – Doinb – Lwx – Crisp
Crazy – Haro – Ruby – ZWuJi – Ley
Cube – Aix – Forge – iBoy – Hang
Aliez – xiaohan – Mole – y4 – clx
Will not provide lineups before lock.
Vici Gaming (-1533) are the deserving top plays in this four game slate but they’ll have some immediate competition at the top. Vici Gaming is a below average team, averaging 11.4 kills per game and 12.4 deaths per game. Fortunately for them, Victory Five is their matchup today and they’re beyond awful with a capital A. Victory Five have won one game this season – one! They’re averaging a league worst 19.8 deaths per game. The next worst deaths per game mark in the league is Rogue Warriors at 16.5. I often talk about how matchups shouldn’t be weighed too heavily in LoL DFS, but this is a very clear exception. Vici Gaming aren’t even the most expensive team in this slate. You’re going to be able to stack them in any way you see fit, including building around iBoy (ADC) and Forge (MID).
FunPlus Phoenix (-684) is also competing for the top spot in this slate and you could argue that they should be viewed as the very best plays. After all, they’re a significantly better team than Vici Gaming. On the season, FunPlus Phoenix are averaging 15.2 kills per game and they own the second best win rate (71.4%). They also have a very juicy matchup against a Rogue Warriors’ squad that pushes the pace, averaging 14 kills per game and 16.5 deaths per game this spring. GimGoon (TOP) had a massive game last time out after struggling so mightily that he had to be benched. If you believe he’ll continue to rebound, using him at captain where he’ll cost you $9,300 allows you to run 4-2-1 stacks lead by FunPlus Phoenix.
Next up is Royal Never Give Up (-266), a team that’s clearly the third best play in this slate. Suning comes into this slate with a 2-6 record over their last eight games and they’re averaging 13.9 kills per game and 14.6 deaths per game. It’s a favorable matchup for a RNG team that’s also had a difficult time of late, winning just one game over their four. They’re priced very similarly to Vici Gaming in this slate but check in with significantly lower odds to win outright. This should have a drastic effect in their ownership, which makes them strong leverage targets in GPPs.
On the other side, the struggling Suning (+212) squad should be unowned in this slate. Their recent track record has been awful outside of huanfeng (ADC), who’s still generating strong performances even in losses. Their matchup against Royal Never Give Up is pretty underwhelming when taking into account league context. It’s not setting up to be an optimal spot but their cheap price tags, high talent level at key positions and low ownership makes them intriguing enough.
We’ll be back next week with more video content! Stay tuned.