What You Need To Know In Fantasy Football For Week 9
What you need to know heading into Fantasy Football Week 9
DeAndre Hopkins finished as WR26 while Will Fuller finished outside the Top 50 in PPR formats in 2016. It's quite simple. With competent quarterback play, Hopkins and Fuller can be nearly unstoppable. The unforgettable truth is Deshaun Watson is now out for the season. Tom Savage will take over as their starting quarterback, and he has zero passing touchdowns and one interception in 105 career passing attempts. With Savage in, Hopkins should be valued as a WR2 while Fuller is a boom or bust WR3. They should still be in your lineups this week, however, as the Colts have allowed the sixth most Fantasy points to opposing wide receivers on the season.
Jared Goff is QB15 on the season in terms of Fantasy points per game, more than Derek Carr, Jameis Winston, and Matt Ryan. If you're in need of a quick fix as a Watson owner or need help during bye week hell, Goff is your guy. The Rams offense is the second-highest scoring offense at 30.3 points per game, going up against a New York Giants defense that has struggled. They've allowed three or more passing touchdowns in three of their last four games. Also, they will be without their top cover cornerback Janoris Jenkins, who is serving a one-game suspension for violation of team rules.
According to NFL Next Gen Stats, Demaryius Thomas has the fourth lowest average separation from defenders when targeted. He's also tied for fourth on his own team with just four red zone targets this season. Everybody wants to blame Trevor Siemian (rightfully so) for Thomas' woes but based on this separation stat, there is a chance his physical skills are also diminishing. He's 29 years old and obviously not the same athlete he was during that 2012-14 stretch. Oh, and Brock Osweiler is now his quarterback. There is definite cause for concern and Thomas shouldn't be viewed higher than a WR3.
Ameer Abdullah has had at least 14 touches in every game but one this season. He also ranks 18th among running backs with 101 carries. Heâ€™s been a disappointment overall, sitting at RB33 in PPR despite being drafted mid-round running back. If there is any week he can bounce back, however, it's this one. The Green Bay Packers have allowed the third most Fantasy points to running backs over the last month. Specifically, they've allowed 30 or more PPR points to running backs in each of their last two games. Abdullah is a solid RB2 this week based on the bye weeks and if he goes off, look to sell high.
DeVante Parker is a Top 24 wide receiver in both standard and PPR this week despite missing the last three games. Parker was averaging 12.2 PPR points per game in his four games played, which would rank him as WR25 on the season. Before he was injured during that fourth game, Parker was on pace for approximately 96 receptions, 1,227 yards, and five touchdowns. The good news is Parker is returning against an Oakland Raiders defense that has allowed an average of 196 yards per game and three total touchdowns to wide receivers over the last two weeks.
Ben Roethlisberger has five plus matchups over his final seven games after the bye. It's hard to imagine this but Big Ben might be the savior for Watson owners. Below are his matchups and where each team ranks in terms of allowing Fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks:
Week 10: @ Indianapolis Colts â€“ fifth most points to QBs
Week 11: vs. Tennessee Titans â€“ 13th most points to QBs
Week 12: vs. Green Bay Packers â€“ 19th most points to QBs
Week 13: @ Cincinnati Bengals â€“ 12th fewest points to QBs
Week 14: vs. Baltimore Ravens â€“ second fewest points to QBs
Week 15: vs. New England Patriots â€“ MOST points to QBs
Week 16: @ Houston Texans â€“ fourth most points to QBs
Weeks 10-12 and 15-16 are the juicy games while Weeks 13 and 14 should be avoided. Big Ben has flat out looked bad but so much of Fantasy Football is playing the matchups. If you want to avoid trading away one of your valuable running backs or wide receivers to fill the Watson void, add Roethlisberger off waivers now or trade for him while his value is dirt-cheap. He won't help you in Week 9 but get him now to be ahead of the curve.
Tyler Higbee is a sleeper tight end this week going up against the New York Giants. It's become almost cliche to start your tight end against the Giants but with six teams on a bye, this makes sense. The Giants have allowed a touchdown to a tight in every game this season. It's annoying trying to figure out whether it will be Higbee or Gerald Everett for the Rams but I'll take the one who plays more. Higbee has appeared in 75% of the offensive snaps while Everett has appeared in just 30%. Give me Higbee!
The Baltimore Ravens defense has not allowed a touchdown to a wide receiver since Week 5. On the season, they are allowing the second fewest fantasy points to opposing wide receivers. Unlike DeVante Parker, whoâ€™s returning from injury with a tasty matchup, Corey Davis is returning to a terrible one. Davis will have some big games down the stretch and might end up helping owners win championships but it won't happen in Week 9. He's outside my Top 48 at wide receiver.
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