NFL Week 13 Start/Sit
NFL Week 13 Start/Sit
Week 13 marks the end of the regular season for most fantasy leagues. All logic is thrown out of the window for fantasy owners who realize this week means either life in next week’s playoffs or time to bone up on fantasy basketball rankings.
With COVID-19 altering the schedule, the fate of some fantasy teams won’t be known until after Tuesday night’s Cowboys-Ravens game, making this a longer finish than usual.
START: Justin Herbert, QB, Chargers
Even against a Patriots team ranked 10th in fewest fantasy points allowed per game to opposing QBs, Herbert is still a solid play, having recorded 300-plus passing yards in three of his last four games. Week 12 marked the first time since Week 4 that Herbert failed to throw multiple touchdown passes, and with his high volume of pass attempts, it’s hard to envision him doing it again.
SIT: Carson Wentz, QB, Eagles
Playing Wentz at this point of the season is a fool’s errand. Not only does Wentz lead the league with 15 interceptions, but he’s also second only to Denver’s Drew Lock in the lowest percentage of pass attempts on-target, a paltry 71.1%. Add the fact the Packers are seventh-best in fewest fantasy points allowed per game to opposing quarterbacks, and the result is obvious: stay away.
START: David Montgomery, RB, Bears
Overlooked in Chicago’s blowout loss at Green Bay in Week 12 was the fact Montgomery had his first 100-yard game of the season. Montgomery now faces a Lions defense that’s the worst in the league in fantasy points allowed per game to opposing running backs, which presents him a solid opportunity for a repeat effort.
SIT: Zack Moss, RB, Bills
Moss has averaged at least 5.8 yards per carry in his last five games, but the lack of touches dampens his potential. The 14 carries Moss totaled in Week 8 was the only time this season he’s seen double-digit carries, so it’s unlikely he’ll be top fellow RB Reggie Singletary and QB Josh Allen in rushing attempts when the Bills meet the 49ers.
START: Justin Jefferson, WR, Vikings
Only five other receivers have more passing yards traveled in the air before being caught than Jefferson’s 625. Keep that number in mind as the rookie standout will feast on deep shots against a Jaguars pass defense that is eighth-worst in fantasy points allowed per game to opposing wideouts.
SIT: CeeDee Lamb, WR, Cowboys
Lamb has touchdown receptions in two of his last three games, but the rookie has topped over 64 receiving yards just once since Week 5. Those numbers don’t bode well for Lamb when he lines up against a Ravens defense that allows the third-fewest passing yards in the league along with being the fifth-stingiest fantasy defense against opposing WRs.
START: Evan Engram, TE, Giants
Starting QB Daniel Jones (hamstring) is out, but Engram is still start-worthy after coming off a 129-yard effort against the Washington Football Team in Week 12. Engram is averaging better than eight targets per game over his last five and will have the middle of the field to himself against the Seahawks, who were gouged by Eagles TEs Dallas Goedert and Richard Rodgers in Week 12.
SIT: Jonnu Smith, TE, Titans
Despite the fact the Browns are third-worst in fantasy points allowed per game to opposing tight ends, starting Smith is a risky proposition. The big-play luster has long fallen off Smith, who hasn’t topped 40 receiving yards since Week 3. The presence of RB Derrick Henry further dims hope of Smith being a factor near the goal line.
START: Austin Ekeler, RB, Chargers
So much for easing Ekeler back into the lineup, as he finished with 25 touches (11 receptions) in Week 12, his first appearance since Week 4. He’s a potential monster play in PPR formats, especially if the game against the Patriots becomes a high-scoring affair.
SIT: Christian Kirk, WR, Cardinals
Since his 134-yard, two-TD performance against the Dolphins in Week 8, Kirk has become an afterthought in the struggling Cardinals offense, producing a combined 96 receiving yards in his last three games. Don’t bank your playoff hopes on starting Kirk against the Rams, who allow the fewest fantasy points per game against opposing wideouts.
START: Ryan Fitzpatrick, QB, Dolphins
The best streaming option at the position, Fitzpatrick has thrown multiple touchdowns in three of his last four games. He’s quietly ninth-best in on-target passes and will thrive in a matchup against the Bengals, who are 10th-worst in fantasy points allowed per game to opposing passers.
SIT: Cam Newton, QB, Patriots
Newton is 28th in intended air yards and has yet to throw multiple touchdown passes this season. The running threat isn’t enough of a bonus to roll the dice with Newton, even against a Chargers defense that is sixth-worst when it comes to stopping fantasy production against opposing QBs.
START: Miles Sanders, RB, Eagles
Sanders leads all running backs with 3.8 yards per carry before contact and is in position for a huge afternoon against the Packers, who are second-worst in fantasy points allowed per game to opposing running backs. The only risk with Sanders is that the Eagles have consistently kept him from establishing a flow that would allow him to really cause damage.
SIT: Benny Snell Jr, RB, Steelers
With starter James Connor (COVID-19) unlikely to play, expect the Steelers to utilize a committee that will see Anthony McFarland sharing touches with Snell, who has just 82 yards on 38 carries since his 113-yard outing in Week 1.
START: Brandin Cooks, WR, Texans
The suspension of WR Will Fuller and the injury to Randall Cobb (toe) leaves Cooks as the top option for QB Deshaun Watson. Cooks has just one game of better than 10 targets this season, yet is a likely candidate to top his season-best 12 targets when the Texans clash with the Colts.
SIT: Noah Fant, TE, Broncos
Denver should have QB Drew Lock this week, but it’s not enough to feel encouraged about playing Fant, who has not found the end zone since Week 2. Even against a suspect Chiefs defense, there’s little reason for fantasy owners to place their postseason hopes with Fant in the lineup.