Six Best Week 16 Contrarian FanDuel NFL DFS Picks
Jake Ciely of RotoExperts.com deals out his top Week 16 NFL DFS contrarian picks for FanDuel. Sign up and get $10 FREE to play and entry into five games!
Week 16 Blind Spot Players
In case you're new to this, the Fantasy Blind Spot refers to players that you want to target in tournaments, such as the Millionaire Maker, etc… contrarian players if you will. They usually have one of the following characteristics:
1) have been performing well but haven't had a breakout game or big enough numbers to get Fantasy players talking, and/or
2) are in a price range of other more popular option, and/or
3) have frustrated with disappointing performances but have a great matchup to finally break through
FanDuel Week 16 Sleepers
Andrew Luck $8300 – It sounds as if Donte Moncrief will play this week, and you have to like any game that has the highest O/U in Vegas. That's not surprising when you consider the strengths (offenses) and weaknesses (defenses) of these two teams. As you will see in a bit, the appeal of this game carries over to a Raiders player as well, but with Moncrief on the field, both T.Y. Hilton and Luck should be able to take advantage of this matchup. Luck is the fourth highest-priced quarterback, and dropping down to Philip Rivers, Matt Ryan, Derek Carr and Cam Newton makes plenty of sense. That's why a Luck-Hilton stack could end up contrarian and have you set apart from the field.
Jay Ajayi $6700 – As mentioned in this week's sleeper section, the Bills have struggled against running backs this year and especially over the last four games where they have the second most FPPG allowed. In fact, Ajayi dominated these same Bills for 214 rushing yards and a touchdown in Week 7. Ajayi is sandwiched between Jeremy Hill and Bilal Powell, and while he's slowed of late, this price is too tempting. Over the last five games, Ajayi faced the 11th, 32nd, 5th, 4th and 17th defense against the run. Sure, he should have done more against the 49ers, but he did have 12.1 points, and the Dolphins should lean on the run in frigid Buffalo.
Jonathan Stewart $6400 – This is the third week in a row I'm recommending Stewart in DFS, as it's hard to stay away with another great matchup. Stewart had 12.6 points against the Chargers, 14.5 against the Redskins and now faces the weak Falcons defense. As is always the case, Stewart carries the risk of losing touchdowns to Cam Newton or even Mike Tolbert, but it's that risk that makes Stewart an intriguing tournament play. Don't touch him in cash, but if Stewart can put up one of his patented two-touchdown games, you'll be well on your way to some nice winnings.
Amari Cooper $7200 – With Cooper, he's as boom or bust as they come, but the good news is that this matchup points to a boom. And no, it's not because he is "due." There is no such thing. It's because Cooper will see a good amount of Vontae Davis, and Davis has gone from Pro Bowl level corner last year to favorable matchup this year. Davis has one of the worst grades on PFF for corners, and the Colts struggle to stop the pass. In a high-scoring game, Cooper is primed to be one of the beneficiaries.
Julian Edelman $6700 – Edelman carries more value on DraftKings, but don't dismiss him on FanDuel… after all, it is just a half point per reception difference. The real appeal here is that Edelman should see plenty of Juston Burris, which is the best matchup for any Patriots receiver. On top of that, you attack the Jets via the pass, and there are few quarterbacks who can do a better job of that than Tom Brady can. Edelman also had 11 targets, eight catches and 83 yards the first time around and can easily top all of those numbers while adding a touchdown.
Cameron Brate $5600 – I wanted to pick a different tight end here, but I just can't. There is no reason to spend $6,700 or more on a tight end, especially when Jordan Reed and his injury issues are $7,000. The other three tight ends before Brate have some upside but just as much risk (if not more) and aren't worth the extra money. Then, if you dive deeper than Brate, you have a quagmire of shared opportunities (Chargers, possibly Texans, Saints, etc.) and high-risk options. Brate makes way too much sense whether you're playing cash games or tournaments.
Merry Christmas everyone!!
Main Image via Getty
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