Week 10 Fantasy Football Workshop: Win Your League
Week 10 Fantasy Football Workshop: Win Your League
Every week in the fantasy football workshop, I will go through all the important news + notes, take a look at any important statistical oddities that can improve our process in fantasy football (and help our rosters) while also posting my rest-of-season rankings. The idea behind this space is to give readers an insight into how rankings are made and for all of us to keep track of players’ values throughout the course of the season.
Week 9+10 Fantasy Football News And Notes
-Despite Joe Flacco turning back the clock on Monday night against the Patriots, Sam Darnold is reportedly feeling better and is on pace to start for the Jets in Week 11. Given how great Denzel Mims has looked (and Breshad Perriman), I am starting to feel a little optimistic about the Jets performing closer to a league-average offense in the second half of the season.
-T.Y Hilton was apparently close to playing this last Sunday, which suggests that he should be able to play on Thursday for the Colts. Jack Doyle likely won’t be able to return from the concussion protocol fast enough, and Mo Alie-Cox is banged up as well. Given how bad Hilton has played this season, there should be really solid volume available for Trey Burton, Zach Pascal, and Michael Pittman.
– Both Henry Ruggs AND Bryan Edwards are banged up for the Raiders. While Darren Waller had a fairly quiet game against the Patriots, with both of the rookie WRs banged up, we should probably expect his absurd target share to continue. In mega deep formats, you can probably put in $1 bids on Nelson Agholor.
-Ben Roethlisberger has been placed on the COVID contract tracing list. Much like Matt Stafford last week, he still has a decent chance at playing this weekend if he is able to test negative over consecutive days. If Ben was NOT able to play, the Steelers offense is going to take a massive hit in Week 10. Prepare accordingly.
-The Patriots claimed Jordan Thomas off of the waiver wire with Devin Asiasi, and Dalton Keene both banged up. Given just the massive dearth of available targets on the team, I actually think in really deep formats, Thomas might be a thing. McDaniels and Belichick have long loved running 12 personnel, and Thomas is at least a semi-interesting athlete. Disregard this if Thomas gets cut in two weeks.
-Kendrick Bourne is BACK on the COVID-19/Reserve list. This is actually pretty relevant fantasy football news because if Bourne is unable to play this upcoming week, Richie James is going to be a legit “start” in fantasy football after his 13-target game against the Packers. As I wrote earlier in the week, it is hard to put the lightning back in the bottle with someone like James.
-Jamaal Williams has been activated off of the COVID-19 list. This means that he will again play an annoying amount of snaps in the Packers backfield (at least for Aaron Jones owners). We are waiting to hear if Allen Lazard is going to suit up this week, but my expectation is that he will.
-RapSheet reported that Laviska Shenault has a “chance” to play in Week 10 for the Jaguars. We have all been waiting for the Shenault-plosion, but a mid-season soft tissue injury does not sound great. If he is not able to go, DJ Chark is going to project for a massive target share, and Keelan Cole will probably be startable in deeper formats. Jake Luton is the likely Week 10 starter for the Jags.
-We are hoping and praying that Chase Edmonds will get another chance to smash in Week 10 after he recorded the most snaps and touches of any RB in Week 9 but was able to turn that into surplus fantasy points. Kenyan Drake is being listed as day-to-day with his ankle injury, but we’ll know more likely with Thursday practices.
-Christian McCaffrey is another RB listed as “day-to-day” with shoulder and rib injuries. We are not expecting CMC to play this week, and if Mike Davis is somehow back out there on your waiver wire, he is the best add of the entire week.
-Albert Okwuegbunam is out for the rest of the year with a torn ACL. His removal from the offense makes it much easier for KJ Hamler to settle into a startable WR4ish range for the rest of the season.
Week 9+10 Team Level Fantasy Football Analysis And Player Usage Notes
-Last year, one of my favorite things in fantasy football was using the Air Yards charts to create something I called the “Unrealized Air Yards” chart as well as “Unrealized Fantasy Points,” which was basically just to see how many fantasy points wide receivers were leaving on the field. The formula is not tricky; it is just Air Yards subtracted by actual yards as well as yards after the catch.
I was sick of looking at AJ Green’s name at the top of this list, so this is the Unrealized Air Yards Table from the last four weeks of football:
-Some clear observations: we all need to be buying Jerry Jeudy. He no longer has anyone impeding him from being a clear alpha, and the Broncos have been one of the pass-heavy teams in the NFL due to how terrible they are playing in the first half. Michael Gallup has had a better role the last two weeks in the Cowboys offense for whatever reason likely related to deep throws being a terrible idea with a bad QB and bad o-line. Denzel Mims looks like a potential WR2 if the Jets are able to figure it out somewhat on offense.
-The following DataViz displays players who are gaining more of their yards of their own creation vs accruing mass amounts of air yards.
-I really hope that you guys have been starting as many wide receivers as possible. Since Week 7, the WRs have absolutely dominated the expected points table on Rotoviz. Players like Juju Smith-Schuster, Curtis Samuel, and AJ Brown are bolstering Zero-RB teams across the land.
Rest Of Season Fantasy Football Rankings