Week 11 Fantasy Football Workshop: Win Your League
Week 11 Fantasy Football Workshop: Win Your League
Every week in the fantasy football workshop, I will go through all the important news + notes, take a look at any important statistical oddities that can improve our process in fantasy football (and help our rosters) while also posting my rest-of-season rankings. The idea behind this space is to give readers an insight into how rankings are made and for all of us to keep track of players’ values throughout the course of the season.
Week 10+11 Fantasy Football News And Notes
-JaMychal Hasty has been placed on the injured reserve by the San Francisco 49ers. That means the only available running backs as of this moment is Jerick McKinnon and technically Austin Walter (though he is normally on the practice squad). Given that the 49ers are on bye, they might be able to get Raheem Mostert back and/or Tevin Coleman or bring in a street free agent with enough time to pass COVID test.
-Allen Lazard has officially been activated from the designated-to-return IR. He will immediately step in as the #2 WR in Green Bay which should be a pretty valuable role considering how many touchdowns have been there for MVS and Robert Tonyan. If he is out there in your leagues this week, he is a very solid add.
-Calvin Ridley has not returned to full practice, even coming off of the Falcons bye week with his foot injury. He was working to the side with an individual trainer on Tuesday in Atlanta’s practice. Olamide Zaccheus is a solid WR streamer this week and if you have Calvin Ridley, set your lineup and make your waiver moves like he won’t be available.
-The NFL has had 52 positive COVID tests over the last week with 17 among players and 35 amongst team staff. While this is really just a reflection of what is happening inside the USA as a whole, it is making me start to think that carrying backups at QB & TE in leagues where the waiver wire stops in the playoffs is GTO.
-Antonio Brown is being investigated for apparently tampering with a security camera owned by the homeowners association he belonged to. Of course, the AB signing was all about placating Tom Brady so probably nothing will come of this but it wouldn’t surprise me if he is forced to serve some sort of suspension.
-Drew Brees is “seeking a second opinion” on his bruised ribs and collapsed lung. My guess? That probably won’t go very well for him. Jameis Winston has the ability to be a top-ten fantasy quarterback every time he steps on the field because of his willingness to throw the ball deep. If he can keep Taysom Hill on the sideline, Winston has the ability to win leagues down the stretch.
-With Chris Thompson placed on the IR, the only true RB left on the active Jaguars roster with James Robinson is Devine Ozigbo. Presumably, Ozigbo would have had a chance to start at the beginning of the year if Robinson had not played well and Ozigbo wouldn’t have hurt his hamstring in training camp. He is a decent deep-league stash.
-Drew Lock is going to attempt to play through “severely bruised” ribs per Ian Rapoport. I think you could reasonably argue that Brett Rypien’s hyper-accurate but much weaker arm could actually benefit the Broncos offense because Lock has been so painfully inaccurate.
-Tyler Lockett did not practice on Tuesday. If he is not able to practice on Wednesday, you need to add David Moore to all of your fantasy teams. Moore is sort of a premium-tier WR “handcuff” in the sense that he plays in an elite offense and will step into an awesome role with any injury.
-Christian McCaffrey is reportedly not going to be expected to play in Week 11, giving us another week of the Mike Davis experience and depriving CMC owners of his points.
Week 10+11 Team Level Fantasy Football Analysis And Player Usage Notes
-Last year, one of my favorite things in fantasy football was using the Air Yards charts to create something I called the “Unrealized Air Yards” chart as well as “Unrealized Fantasy Points,” which was basically just to see how many fantasy points wide receivers were leaving on the field. The formula is not tricky; it is just Air Yards subtracted by actual yards as well as yards after the catch.
I was sick of looking at AJ Green’s name at the top of this list, so this is the Unrealized Air Yards Table from the last four weeks of football:
-Even with the timeframe from Week 7, AJ Green *still* makes the list. Thanks, I hate it. DJ Moore continues to look like a buy no matter how you slice and dice his numbers. Travis Fulgham still has a clear role on the Eagles and is a dynasty buy low at the moment. I’ll never give up on Henry Ruggs until he is playing on the Dallas Renegades.
-I know that I have touched on this a lot in the workshop but seriously: this is the worst tight end year ever. As of Week 11, there are only eight TEs who are projected to score 160 PPR points (or 10 per game). With Kelce and Ertz injured, Mark Andrews underperforming, and no real breakouts from Noah Fant and Mike Gesiciki, the position has just been a disaster. Just make a mental note right now: do not draft one of the shiny objects at TE because the chances are they aren’t going to work out for you in the middle rounds.
-If you have been starting low-floor running backs over wide receivers in the flex, you have been doing it wrong. As the Rotoviz expected points table can show us, since Week 7, wide receivers have absolutely dominated expected points at the flex. You are better off starting a high ceiling WR like Curtis Samuel or even Anthony Miller over the LaMical Perine and DeeJay Dallas’ of the world.