Week 12 Contrarian FanDuel NFL DFS Picks
Jake Ciely of RotoExperts.com deals out some of his top contrarian DFS picks for Week 12.
Week 12 Blind Spot Players
In case you're new to this, the Fantasy Blind Spot refers to players that you want to target in tournaments, such as the Millionaire Maker, etc… contrarian players if you will. They usually have one of the following characteristics:
1) have been performing well but haven't had a breakout game or big enough numbers to get Fantasy players talking, and/or
2) are in a price range of other more popular option, and/or
3) have frustrated with disappointing performances but have a great matchup to finally break through
FanDuel Week 12 Sleepers
Drew Brees $8600 – If you're going to pay up at quarterback, make it Brees. At home this year, Brees is averaging 366 yards and three touchdowns. That's an average of 26.64 points on FanDuel, which tops Brady's season-long average of 24.3. It's really as simple as Brees being at home and the fact that players are always reluctant to spend big at quarterback, especially in a no-bye week.
Jay Ajayi $8400 – Ajayi has cooled off the last two games, and it doesn't help that the Dolphins are losing offensive linemen seemingly every week. However, this is the same running back that rushed for 529 yards and four touchdowns in three straight games. On top of that, the 49ers allow the most FPPG to running backs, and their lead over second place (Browns) actually widened the last five games with a ridiculous 923 rushing yards and eight touchdowns allowed.
Spencer Ware $7000 – Ware had some terrific games earlier this year. With three games of 20-plus points in his first six, Ware showed he had one of the highest ceilings for running backs. Ware has a great opportunity to reach that ceiling this week. First, the Broncos defense is susceptible to the run with the fourth most FPPG allowed to running backs. They have five games of 20-plus points allowed to teams' backfields including two over 40. Second, Charcandrick West is questionable for this week, giving Ware the potential for a heavy workload. Ware has plenty of upside in Week 12.
Larry Fitzgerald $7200 – There will be plenty of players that fade Fitzgerald for the fear of Desmond Trufant. That's understandable, especially with Carson Palmer's play. That combination can be horrifying. But the Cardinals move their receivers around enough for Fitzgerald to avoid Trufant at times. In fact, Fitzgerald lines up in the slot 65 percent of the time where Trufant only goes 18 percent of the time. The Falcons are allowing the fifth most FPPG to receivers with the third most touchdowns. Fitzgerald is a nice contrarian pick.
Jordan Matthews $5600 – Matthews has 44 targets in the last four games for 18.0, 11.8, 10.3 and 8.4 points. That trend isn't exciting, but this week's matchup is. The Packers haven't been able to stop anyone's passing game over their last four games with 771 yards and nine touchdowns allowed. On top of that, Matthews is a slot-flanker receiver, and the Packers slot corner (Micah Hyde) has been torched this season. It would be a shock if Matthews doesn't hit 3x value.
Gary Barnidge $4800 – Any half decent tight end has done well against the Giants this year, going all the way back to Jason Witten in Week 1. Josh McCown at quarterback means Barnidge can actually have good numbers, and Barnidge was able to score against a much tougher defense for tight ends last week (Steelers) once McCown entered the game. It was Barnidge's first touchdown of the year, but he reeled off five straight games with 57 or more yards earlier this year, and if he can hit 60 and a score, he'll be close to 3x value.
Image via Getty
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