Week 8 Fantasy Football Workshop: Win Your League
Week 8 Fantasy Football Workshop
Every week in the fantasy football workshop, I will go through all the important news and notes and look at any important statistical oddities that can improve our process in fantasy football (and help our rosters) while also posting my rest-of-season rankings. The idea behind this space is to give readers an insight into how rankings are made and for all of us to keep track of players’ values throughout the course of the season.
Week 7+8 Fantasy Football News And Notes
-Devonta Freeman did NOT suit up for practice for the Giants on Tuesday. As we head into making our waiver bids on Tuesday night, we, unfortunately, have to consider adding Wayne Gallman (and even Dion Lewis if he is available).
– While the coaching staff did not commit to Christian McCaffrey’s availability on Thursday night, he was at practice for the Panthers. Owners who have been starting Mike Davis might get one more week out of him, but it seems that the magic carpet ride is now over.
– Dez Bryant has officially been signed to the Ravens practice squad. Dez probably has no fantasy value, but this signing does tell us what we are all realizing: Miles Boykin is not a good enough answer at WR2, and neither is Willie Snead. The team desperately needs some options who can help secure some of Lamar Jackson’s more wayward passes.
-The Buccaneers have to yet again deal with Chris Godwin not being in their lineup for Week 8. This time, he will miss at least one game after breaking his finger while catching a pass in Week Seven. With Antonio Brown coming in after Week 8, this is probably the best possible sell window that could exist for Mike Evans. On that same note, it was confirmed by the Bucs coaching staff that Scottie Miller and Evans themselves are both dealing with on-going injuries.
-Kenyan Drake is expected to miss multiple weeks with a severe ankle injury. After the Cardinals return from their bye, Chase Edmonds will finally have his chance as the lead running back for the Cardinals, and we should see former Arizona State phenom Eno Benjamin get worked in as well. Eno is a great $1 waiver wire add.
– Chris Carson, Travis Homer, AND Carlos Hyde are all questionable to play on Sunday against the San Francisco 49ers. Hyde is the prized waiver wire add of the week, but given that he and Homer are both banged up, it might make the most sense to make $1 bids on DeeJay Dallas.
– Cam Akers did not touch the ball ONCE in the Rams Week 7 win against the Bears. Personally, I had very high expectations for Akers heading into this season, but there is no denying that Darrell Henderson has just been straight-up good. As long as Henderson keeps playing this well, we aren’t going to see Akers. Akers might even be a sell low candidate in dynasty.
– Jeff Wilson Jr. and Raheem Mostert are both officially on the injured reserve while it is unclear if Tevin Coleman is going to come off this week or not. The 49ers backfield looks like it is going to be Jamycal Hasty and Jerick McKinnon this week (a week after McKinnon was “rested”) in what is the most important game the 49ers have played this year against the Seahawks.
– Those of us who grinded the XFL remember Donald Parham fondly. Well, he might be in line for increased playing time with Virgil Green sustaining a broken ankle in the Chargers win against the Jaguars. This is the most fun sentence I have typed this year: in tight-end premium leagues, Parham is a clear add this week.
-DeSean Jackson has been placed on the injured reserve by the Philadelphia Eagles, and they have taken Jalen Reagor OFF of the IR. We probably won’t see Jackson again this year, and his removal fully opens the door for Reagor to take off like a rocket ship once he is activated. Reagor is a must-add in all formats.
-Joe Mixon is considered “day-to-day” by the Bengals coaching staff. This would indicate that we probably get him back this week and that we won’t be able to start Giovani Bernard or rely on him in DFS.
Week 7+8 Team Level Fantasy Football Analysis And Player Usage Notes
-Last year, one of my favorite things in fantasy football was using the Air Yards charts to create something I called the “Unrealized Air Yards” chart as well as “Unrealized Fantasy Points,” which was basically just to see how many fantasy points wide receivers were leaving on the field. The formula is not tricky; it is just Air Yards subtracted by actual yards as well as yards after the catch.
This is the table after seven weeks of football:
-Some fantasy-relevant observations: I can’t believe I am about to say this, but I think that AJ Green might have some life in fantasy. With Auden Tate and John Ross out of the picture, there are enough passes in Cincy for three fantasy-relevant wide receivers, and Green is the third. MVS and John Hightower are great examples of wide receivers who seem like buy targets on paper but don’t get enough raw volume to be useful for fantasy. If John Brown ever gets healthy, he has loads of room to grow as a fantasy weapon this season, still.
-After a truly wild start to the season for quarterback scoring, things have normalized a bit. The two quarterbacks who we expect to have very high win rates in best-ball leagues this year are going to be Russell Wilson and Kyler Murray. Justin Herbert has been a fantastic find as well, averaging over 25 fantasy points per game. Josh Allen, Dak Prescott (RIP), DeShaun Watson, Aaron Rodgers, and Tom Brady have been all been in that secondary-elite tier but likely not enough to swing leagues the way Wilson and Murray have.
-Weekly #ZeroRB Drafting Update: there are only ten running backs who have handled 60% or more of their teams’ carries while active, and the number is lower than when accounting for total carries (i.e., games missed with injury). Running back is as bleak as it has ever been. If only there were a strategy that anticipated that problem!
-I love the expected points table from Rotoviz for tight ends because it shows just how brutal of a position it has been. No tight end has scored 100 PPR expected points through seven weeks while there are over 20 wide receivers + running backs who have done the same thing. Before a dud this week, Travis Kelce has been one of the biggest edges in fantasy in 2020.