What You Need To Know In Fantasy Football Week 12
By Frank Stampfl
Don't set your Fantasy Football Week 12 Lineup without consulting these items first.
The Cleveland Browns defense has allowed a 102.3 passer rating, third highest this season. Their defense also has allowed a 20:6 TD:INT ratio and multiple touchdown passes in seven of 11 games. This bodes well for Andy Dalton, who is a low-end QB1 in Week 12. Dalton's best Fantasy game of the season came against this same defense in Week 4 when he threw for 286 yards with season-highs in passing touchdowns (4) and rushing yards (29).
In six career games against the Denver Broncos, Derek Carr has averaged 176.8 passing yards and 5.31 yards per attempt with just seven total touchdowns. While the Broncos have been susceptible to touchdowns this season, they're still allowing just 198 passing yards per game, fifth fewest in the league. Carr had a sub-par game against the Broncos earlier in the season as well, passing for just 143 yards and one touchdown. He's currently QB21 in Fantasy points per game and shouldn't be trusted in this matchup.
The Oakland Raiders defense has allowed 64 receptions to running backs, tied for second most in the NFL. Over the last four weeks, specifically, they've allowed 27 receptions to the position, which also ranks second most. Basically, they've consistently been bad to pass-catching RBs. Devontae Booker is a sneaky flex in PPR formats considering he has at least three receptions in four of his last six games. Additionally, he dominated Broncos snaps in Week 11, with 48 to C.J. Anderson's 29.
The Pittsburgh Steelers are allowing just 50 rushing yards per game to running backs over their last five matchups. They haven't allowed a 100-yard rusher or a rushing touchdown to a running back since Week 5 when they faced Leonard Fournette. While Jamaal Williams has at least 21 touches in each of his last two games, he's averaging just 3.26 yards per carry. He's a lower end flex who you should try and avoid in Week 12.
The Cincinnati Bengals have allowed an average of 30.3 PPR Fantasy points to wide receivers over their last three games. They've also allowed four touchdowns to wide receivers over their last five games. Corey Coleman was unfazed by his brutal matchup against the Jacksonville Jaguars in his return, catching six of 10 targets for 80 yards. He also played on 51 offensive snaps, the most among the Cleveland Browns wide receivers in Week 11. He's a rock-solid WR3 in Week 12.
The Seattle Seahawks have allowed the fourth most Fantasy points to wide receivers over the last month. They've also allowed the second most yards to the position (835) and receptions (53) during that span. The Legion of Boom is no more. The truth is they've suffered too many insurmountable injuries in the secondary from Kam Chancellor to Richard Sherman and now even Shaquill Griffin. The Seahawks are without both starting cornerbacks and one of their safeties. For all of those reasons, Marquise Goodwin is a sneaky WR3 in Week 12.
Patrick Peterson is allowing an average of 20.4 yards per game to the receivers he shadows. That includes allowing zero receptions to the likes of Mike Evans, Dez Bryant, and Sammy Watkins. While Marqise Lee has emerged as Blake Bortles' number one target, Week 12 is a situation you should avoid if possible. Actually, the entire Cardinals secondary has played better recently. Over the last month they've allowed the ninth fewest Fantasy points to wide receivers. Dede Westbrook should remain a stash candidate, but don't start him either.
While I don't like the idea of using Derek Carr this week, Jared Cook should find some success against a Broncos defense that has allowed a touchdown to a tight end in five of their last six games. Additionally, they've allowed 123 receiving yards or more to tight ends in two of their last four games. If Carr can't find success throwing to his wide receivers (which he won't), he will have no choice but to exploit that matchup with Cook over the middle of the field.
The Houston Texans have allowed the fourth most Fantasy points to tight ends over the last month. In Week 11, they even managed to allow two touchdowns to good ol' Ricky Seals-Jones. Who? Exactly. Because of their ineptitude against the tight end, Ben Watson is the top tight end stream of the week if you're in a real pickle.
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