What You Need To Know In Fantasy Football Week 14
Here's what you must be aware of before setting your Fantasy Football Week 14 Lineups
By Frank Stampfl
The Detroit Lions are allowing 245.3 passing yards per game, sixth most in the NFL. On top of that, the Lions have given up multiple touchdown passes in two straight games and have allowed the second most Fantasy points to quarterbacks over the last month. As a result, Jamies Winston should be trusted as a QB1 in Week 14. The final straw for me with the Lions defense was seeing Joe Flacco and the Baltimore Ravens actually have offensive success last week. Flacco passed for 269 yards, two touchdowns, and finished as the QB9 for Fantasy purposes in Week 13. The Lions defense is scuffling.
The Minnesota Vikings have allowed 56 total rushing yards to quarterbacks this season, lowest in the NFL by far. Additionally, the Vikings defense allows just 211.4 passing yards per game and has allowed multiple TD passes just once since Week 4. This defense has allowed the sixth fewest Fantasy points to quarterbacks on the season. Cam Newton hasn’t thrown for more than 254 yards in any of his last seven games, depending on his rushing production for his Fantasy value. The Vikings have a fast quick, talented defense, which could limit Cam on the ground. He’s more of a middling QB2 in Week 14, which you should avoid if you could.
Since Week 4, the Seahawks defense has allowed 2.8 yards per carry to running backs (184 carries). Since returning from injury/suspension in Week 10, Leonard Fournette is averaging 2.9 yards per carry. This is one of those situations where volume doesn’t dictate starting Fournette, because the quality of his touches will be poor. It’s not even necessarily on him or his talent, as he seems to be playing through a foot/ankle injury. Plus, we’ve seen a slew of running backs emerge recently who are aseeing a ton of volume. To name a few: Samaje Perine, Kenyan Drake, Jamaal Williams, and Alfred Morris should all be trusted over Fournette in Week 14.
Mike Davis played in 73 percent of the of the Seahawks’ snaps in Week 13, the highest percentage of snaps for any Seahawk running back this season. Behind an offensive line that is third worst in run blocking, according to Football Outsiders, Davis racked up 101 total yards on 20 touches (16 carries, four catches). The Seahawks face the Jaguars in Week 14, a defense that has allowed the fourth highest yards per carry this season (4.5 YPC). Russell Wilson could be a bit limited in production, which could lead to another heavy workload for Davis. He should be viewed as a low-end RB2 or flex in Week 14.
Mike Davis has the jukes ? pic.twitter.com/QDrNyOR1AY
— Seattle Seahawks (@Seahawks) December 4, 2017
The Arizona Cardinals have allowed just 66.4 rushing yards per game over their last five matchups, with just two rushing touchdowns in that span. Specifically, teams have had 99 carries go for just 332 yards (3.35 YPC) dating back to Week 9. If you can avoid the Tennessee Titans backfield in Week 14, please do. DeMarco Murray hasn’t posted more than 66 rushing yards in a game dating back to Week 4. Derrick Henry hasn’t totaled more than 13 carries in any game since Week 7. It’s too volatile of a situation on top of a bad matchup.
The Houston Texans have allowed 12 receptions of 40-plus yards, tied for the most in the NFL. Marquise Goodwin has five receptions of 40-plus yards, tied for fourth most. According to Pro Football Focus, Goodwin will be matched up with cornerback Kevin Johnson and has the 10th WR/CB advantage of Week 14. Regardless of who Goodwin is matched up with on that Texans defense, they’ve struggled to stop wide receivers all season, allowing the ninth most Fantasy points to that position. After leading the 49ers in targets (8), receptions (8), and receiving yards (99) in Week 13, trust Goodwin as a low-end WR2 in Week 14.
Over the last two weeks, the New York Giants have allowed the seventh most Fantasy points to opposing wide receivers. Specifically, they’ve allowed three touchdowns during that span with all three coming in the red zone. Now that Janoris Jenkins is on Injured Reserve, Dez Bryant will feast in this matchup. According to PFF, Bryant will be matched up with Ross Cockrell, which is a sizeable advantage for the Dallas Cowboys. Despite being inefficient this season, Bryant still has ninth most targets (109) and should continue to have his number called heavily in Week 14. He’s back to being a high-end WR2.
The San Francisco 49ers have allowed six touchdowns to tight ends over their last six games. That’s good news for Stephen Anderson who’s coming off a career-game, catching five of 12 targets for 79 yards and a touchdown. The 12 targets was a career-high and also accounted for 24 percent of the Texans target share in Week 13. Some people have shied away from Anderson with Will Fuller returning but they shouldn’t. Fuller doesn’t have a rapport with Tom Savage and isn’t a player who demands many targets. Anderson is a low-end TE1 in Week 14.
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