What You Need To Know In Fantasy Football Week 16
By Frank Stampfl
IT’S THE FINAL COUNTDOWN! Everything you’ve worked for this season comes down to Fantasy Football Week 16, the championship game. If you play into Week 17, you need to have a chat with your commissioner.
The Texans and the Giants are the only two defenses have allowed three or more passing touchdowns on six different occasions this season. The Texans have also allowed a 99.6 passer rating this season, fifth highest this season. Regardless of Ben Roethlisberger playing on the road without Antonio Brown, he’s a Top 5 quarterback in Week 16. He’s finished as a QB1 every game since Week 8 and has 16 passing touchdowns over his last six games. With Brown out as well, JuJu Smith-Schuster is a low-end WR1 with Martavis Bryant as a boom or bust WR2.
The Panthers defense has allowed multiple passing touchdowns in five of their last six games (13 total passing touchdowns during that span). They Panthers have also allowed the fifth most Fantasy points to quarterbacks over the last month. It’s a recipe for success for Jameis Winston in Week 16, who should be trusted as a Top 10 quarterback. The Panthers secondary is struggling with Winston is performing like I thought he would this season. Since returning in Week 13, he’s averaging 284.7 passing yards per game with a 7-2 TD-INT ratio. He’s also finished as a Top 12 QB in each of the past three weeks.
Jameis Winston was impressive under pressure pic.twitter.com/73NCiZfAMI
— Pro Football Focus (@PFF) December 19, 2017
C.J. Anderson has at least 19 touches in three straight games. After playing a season-low 32 percent of the snaps in Week 12, Anderson has played in at least 56 percent of the snaps in each game since. In short, he’s the Broncos workhorse back once again. If you watch him play, he isn’t physically imposing like some of these other running backs. He isn’t going to barrel through defenders or hurdle over anybody, but he’s consistent and wears defenses down as the game goes on. In that regard, he reminds me a lot of former NFL running back Michael Turner. Anderson’s Week 16 matchup is favorable, too. The Washington football team allows 123.4 rushing yards per game, fourth most in the NFL while also allowing 4.3 yards per carry. Anderson should be trusted as a RB2 in that game.
Over the last two weeks, the Carolina Panthers have allowed just 68.5 rushing yards per game to opposing running backs. Outside of that Week 13 game against the New Orleans Saints, the Panthers have allowed just four rushing touchdowns to running backs all season. While their secondary has struggled mightily, their defense is still getting the job done up front. That’s unfortunate news for Jamaal Williams’ owners who’ve made it this far. Not only is it a bad matchup, but teammate Aaron Jones is starting to get involved again. Williams played 43 snaps in Week 15, his lowest total since Week 10. Conversely, Jones played 26 snaps last week, his most since returning from injury. Try and avoid Williams in your championship game.
The Indianapolis Colts defense has allowed four touchdowns to wide receivers over their last three games, including one to Kelvin Benjamin in a severe snowstorm. During that span, the Colts are allowing 36.4 Fantasy points (PPR) per game to wide receivers. Their secondary is decimated with injuries, not to mention the team doesn’t have much to play for. Mike Wallace is a Top 24 wide receiver this week. He has 34 total targets over his last four games, plus teammate Jeremy Maclin is doubtful in this game. Wallace should see 8-10 targets with a pretty good shot at a long touchdown.
The Denver Broncos defense has allowed 72 yards on nine receptions total to wide receivers over their last two games. It’s safe to say the “No Fly Zone” is back. They’ve actually surpassed the Jacksonville Jaguars as the toughest defense against wide receivers. If you’ve managed to make it this far with Jamison Crowder as one of your starting wide receivers, should look elsewhere in Week 16. Crowder is also dealing with a hamstring issue. According to Pro Football Focus, Crowder will be matched up with Chris Harris Jr., which is a disadvantageous matchup.
Cheers to everybody for the support this season. Continue to check out the Fantasy BFFs as we will recap the football season in-depth before moving on to Fantasy Baseball. As always, as a bonus for reading the article, you get my weekly lineup ranks! Good luck and happy holidays!
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