2021 MLB National League Updated MVP Futures Odds and Analysis
National League MVP Futures Odds and Analysis
Top 10 Odds for NL MVP
Odds courtesy of Fanduel Sportsbook. Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook today and get your first bet risk-free for up to $1,000!
- Ronald Acuna Jr: Current +270 / Mar. 26 +750
- Fernando Tatis Jr: Current +800 / Mar. 26 +700
- Jacob DeGrom: Current +800 / Mar. 26 +3300
- Juan Soto: Current +1100 / Mar. 26 +700
- Bryce Harper: Current +1200 / Mar. 26 +1500
- Mookie Betts: Current +1200 / Mar. 26 +750
- Corey Seager: Current +1600 / Mar. 26 +1500
- Freddie Freeman: Current +1800 / Mar. 26 +1500
- Kris Bryant: Current +2500 / Mar. 26 +3300
- Manny Machado: Current +2500 / Mar. 26 +2500
- Nick Castellanos: Current +2500 / Mar. 26 +10000
Jacob DeGrom is attempting to do something done just twice in the past 53 years. The New York Mets ace has lept up the NL MVP odds board and is vying to join Bob Gibson and Clayton Kershaw as the only pitchers to win the award in over five decades. Gibson pulled off the feat as a member of the 1968 St. Louis Cardinals while Dodgers’ lefty Clayton Kershaw won it in 2014.
Although just a five-start sample, DeGrom’s 0.51 ERA is half of Gibson’s 1.12 from ’68 and better than a third of Kershaw’s 1.77 from his MVP season. New York’s ace carries a microscopic 0.57 WHIP compared to 0.853 from the former Cardinals’ hurler and Clayton’s 0.857 from his magical season.
In addition to leading the majors in earned run average and WHIP — DeGrom leads all NL players in WAR — and has the most strikeouts in the senior circuit. If the Mets can start giving him some run support, the 32-year-old can improve his 2-2 record. Despite the lack of wins, DeGrom is tied for second with +800 odds jumping up from +3300.
The Cubs Kris Bryant and Cincinnati’s Nick Castellanos are the other two players to make big moves into the top ten.
Bryant, who struggled with consistency since coming into the league with great fanfare in 2015, has gotten off to a tremendous start. The 29-year-old has a share of the NL lead with nine home runs and is tied for second with 22 RBI. Runner up to only FanDuel Sportsbook’s odds on favorite Ronald Acuna Jr. (+270), Bryant sports a sparkling 1.114 OPS and has already played five positions for the Cubs this year.
Castellanos has played just one position for the Reds but is mashing the ball on par with Bryant. The former Tiger is on pace to smash his career-best of 26 HR as Castellanos is right there with Bryant atop the league with nine dingers. He’s also third in the NL with 22 runs scored and in striking distance of the league-lead with 20 RBI.
Cody Bellinger, Francisco Lindor, Christian Yelich, and Nolan Arenado are the four now on the outside looking in.
Bellinger, the 2019 MVP, and 2018 most valuable player Christian Yelich have been hit hard with injuries. The Dodgers outfielder has played in just four games and remains on the IL with a hairline fracture in his leg. Bellinger sits just outside the top ten at +3000 after starting the season at +1200.
Milwaukee just got their number three hitter back on Monday after missing over three weeks with a back issue. Yelich was +1500 in late March compared to +4000 right now.
Lindor has not endeared himself to Mets’ fan hitting just .163 with only one homer and three RBI in his first season in New York. The former Indian went from +1200 to +3000 thanks to the slow start.
Arenado is right there with Lindor at +3000 despite not having a bad start. The Rockies third baseman is just one RBI off the NL lead with 21 and has hit five home runs. His .265 batting average is less than desirable, but a little hard to believe he’s fallen from +1500 already.
Plenty of baseball left, and significant injuries have played some havoc to the NL odds board early on. By June, there should be some big jumps and substantial dips.