The Houston Astros and Kansas City Royals kickoff a three-game set this weekend at Kauffman Stadium. The Royals will look to keep their recent streak of home wins trending as they look for their fifth home win in the last seven.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Houston Astros: -380
Kansas City Royals: +310
Houston Astros -1.5: -220
Kansas City Royals +1.5: +182
Over 8.5: -122
Under 8.5: +100
What to Watch For
The Royals have been solid at home recently. They’re looking for their fifth home win in their last seven at Kauffman. At the same time, the visiting Astros are looking for their fourth road in in their last six. That’s what it takes to own the best record in the league, winning at and away from home.
Houston clearly has one of the best rosters in the game, but it seems like they’ve taken it to another level recently. They are averaging 14+ runs per game in their last three overall. They currently own the best batting average in the league at .277.
On the other side, though, we’ve got one of the worst offenses in the league. The Royals are No. 24 in the league with a .245 batting average and No. 25 with a .308 on-base percentage. In terms of runs scored, they are No. 28 in the league with 616 runs on the season.
In his 10 appearances vs Houston, Royals pitcher Danny Duffy is 3-3 with a 4.24 ERA. He did help KC get the win his last time out in a two-hit, one earned run performance in six innings vs Miami.
Houston’s Gerrit Cole is 2-1 in his last three starts (3.38 ERA) vs Kansas City.
The Astros are 11-2 in their last 13 games vs. teams with losing records. At the same time, the Royals have lost 21 of their last 31 vs right-handed starting pitchers.
Gerrit Cole is projected to pitch 6+ innings, giving up seven hits and three runs. The Royals average 0.97 HRs off Cole.
Danny Duffy is projected to pitch five-to-six innings, giving up six-to-seven hits and three-to-four runs. The Astros average 1.26 HRs off Duffy.
Houston is a much better team and their offense has been rolling recently. The average final score in sims is 6.3 – 4.0.
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