Game three of a four-game set is scheduled for Wednesday night as the Pittsburgh Pirates and San Francisco Giants match up at Oracle Park. They have split the first two games of this series.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
More Odds at SportsGrid’s MLB Odds Tool
Pittsburgh Pirates: +126
San Francisco Giants: -144
Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5: -164
San Francisco Giants -1.5: +138
Over 9: +100
Under 9: -122
What to Watch For
Although Pittsburgh struggled offensively vs St. Louis, they’ve been relatively hot recently. They are averaging close to 6 runs per game in their last 11 overall.
This is Dario Arazal’s first year in the majors, having gone 4-4 overall in his 11 starts. More recently, he is 2-1 with a 7.53 ERA in his last three starts.
The Pirates are 9-3 in their last 12 vs. a team with a losing record, and 8-1 in their last 9 vs teams in the NL West.
Dario Agrazal is projected to pitch five innings for the Pirates, giving up six hits and two-to-three runs in that stretch. The Giants averages 0.68 HRs off Agrazal.
On the other side, Logan Webb is projected to pitch a shade under five innings, giving up close to eight hits and three-to-four runs. The Pirates average 0.72 HRs per sim off Webb.
Pirates to win.
Three-star (out of four) hot-trend pick alert here. Odds indicate there is a 44 percent chance Pittsburgh wins this matchup. They end up winning over 58 percent of simulations, suggesting some added value on the pick.
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