We’ll look to keep our picks on the total on the right track following Sunday night’s hit on the OVER in the Yankees-Red Sox matchup. On Monday, our eyes will be on the Pirates-Giants matchup at Oracle Park.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
More Odds at SportsGrid’s MLB Odds Tool
Pittsburgh Pirates: +138
San Francisco Giants: -160
Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5: -156
San Francisco Giants -1.5: -160
Over 7.5: -120
Under 7.5: -102
What to Watch For
There’s less than a month remaining in the regular season and SF is still in a position – mathematically – to make it to the postseason. They have 7.5 games to make up to get into the second wild-card playoff spot in the NL. Good news, though, is that they’re kicking off a seven-game home-stand this week against some sub-par talent (Pirates, Marlins).
Giants’ ace Madison Bumgarner has just one loss in his last 14 starts.
On the Mound:
The Pirates will open the series with right-hander Trevor Williams. he has a 2-0 record with a 2.37 ERA in his last three starts. In his two career outings vs SF, he has held the Giants to just one run in 13 innings.
Trevor Williams is projected to pitch five-to-six innings for Pittsburgh, giving up seven hits and three runs. The Giants average 0.76 HRs off Williams.
Madison Bumgarner is projected to pitch six-to-seven innings for San Francisco, giving up six-to-seven hits and two-to-three runs. The Pirates average 0.66 HRs off Bumgarner.
Three-star (out of four) hot-trend pick alert here. Odds indicate there is a 54.5 percent chance the total combined score goes over 7.5. That happens in 57 percent of simulations. The average combined score in sims is 9.2 runs.
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