Saturday’s MLB slate finishes up on the west coast as the San Francisco Giants and Los Angeles Dodgers meet in Southern California.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
More Odds in SportsGrid’s MLB Odds Tool
Los Angeles Dodgers: -230
San Francisco Giants: +198
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5: -116
San Francisco Giants +1.5: +100
Over 9.5: -104
Under 9.5: -118
What to Watch For
The Dodgers entered this set vs the Giants after sweeping the Rockies at home and have their eyes set on the postseason. They have already set a league record for the most HRs in NL history, and the regular season is still going.
The Giants will look to Tyler Beede to help contain the potent Dodgers offense. This is his 19th start of the season, entering the matchup with a 3-9 record (5.61 ERA). He lost his last start which came on the road against the St. Louis Cardinals — giving up three runs in four innings pitched. He has faced the Dodgers just once in his career, but did win that matchup — pitching six innings and allowing just one run.
Tony Gonsolin has had two career starts at home, going 2-0 with a 0.82 ERA in 11 innings.
SF is just 1-5 in their last six overall, and 1-6 in their last seven matchups vs teams in the NL West. LA is 47-10 in their last 57 home games vs a right-handed starter.
Tyler Beede is projected to pitch a shade over four innings for the Giants, giving up six-to-seven hits and four runs. The Dodgers average 1.40 HRs per sim off Beede.
On the other side, Tony Gonsolin is projected to pitch a five-plus innings for the Dodgers, giving up six hits and two runs. The Giants average 0.61 HRs off Gonsolin.
Three-star (out of four) hot-trend pick alert here. Odds indicate the Dodgers have a 54 percent chance they win Saturday bye 2 runs or more. That happens in 64-to-65 percent of simulations. The average score in sims is 7-4, in favor or L.A.
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