6/7 MLB DFS Picks: Piscotty For Dinner
6/7 MLB DFS Picks: Piscotty For Dinner
DailyRoto's MLB Solo Shot Host, Logan Hitchcock, gets you headed in the right direction with his 6/7 MLB DFS Picks. Check out where his mind is at today when it comes to roster construction at FantasyDraft. where they put players first - Daily fantasy baseball on a level playing field. Check them out tonight. Now, on to the the picks for tonight's action.
Where to focus?
No Coors Field? No problem. Another night with not many starting pitching options leaves us with plenty of offenses to choose from. The Cubs once again get a matchup in Citizen's Bank Park against the Philadelphia Phillies and Jerad Eickhoff. While I'm not selling out on 100% Cubs exposure, the price tags have dropped enough on Dexter Fowler ($8,400), Kris Bryant ($9,000) and Anthony Rizzo ($9,300) to warrant a full Cubs stack.
The highest implied team run total tonight belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals. The Cardinals receive a notable positive park shift tonight as they'll face John Lamb in Great American Ball Park. Lamb was able to maneuver his way around the Rockies in his last start at Coors Field but getting by the Cardinals tonight will be perhaps an even more difficult task. Lamb doesn't strike anyone out (4.70 K/9), is walking nearly four hitters per nine and has been bitten by a lot of hard contact while being a flyball natured pitcher. The best news? The Cardinals all carry very accessible price tags. Matt Holliday ($8,800), Stephen Piscotty ($8,800) and Aledmys Diaz ($8,000) are perhaps my three favorite, but anyone with a favorable lineup spot is in prime position tonight against Lamb and a horrendous Cincinnati Reds bullpen.
If you're looking to venture away from the National League Central, the Toronto Blue Jays should be on your radar today. The Blue Jays also get a matchup with a flyball oriented southpaw. While Matt Boyd isn't on the same level of ineptitude as John Lamb, he has dealt right-handed hitters a wOBA of over .370 in his career. The Jays stack up quite well against southpaws, as the trio of Jose Bautista ($8,000), Josh Donaldson ($9,600), and Edwin Encarnacion ($8,100) all exhibit great skills against lefties. While the Jays won't be playing in the friendly natured Rogers Centre, Comerica Park played in the middle of the pack in terms of right-handed home runs last season (via FanGraphs Park Factors by handedness).
On the Bump..
Things aren't as jovial on the pitching side of things tonight. Zack Grienke ($23,200) carries the highest price tag on the slate and for good reason versus a strikeout prone Tampa Bay Rays team. While the Rays have shown an uncanny prowess for power against all handedness, they've also been sent back to the bench empty handed a lot, striking out over 25% of the time versus right-handers. While Grienke doesn't enjoy the strikeout potential that some of the game's elites do, he's an above average strikeout arm and enjoys a small uptick in projection tonight. The scoring environment always favors the offense in Chase Field, but the Rays implied run total is below four runs and Grienke should have no trouble maneuvering around their lineup.
Outside of Grienke, Kyle Hendricks ($20,800) is the second highest priced pitcher. Hendricks will never blow hitters away but he's recorded a strikeout rate of over 20% while pitching to a 3.40 xFIP this season. Hendricks also receives the luxury of pitching against a depleted Philadelphia Phillies squad as an enormous road favorite tonight. The Phillies have the lowest implied team total tonight and Hendricks is a solid option for cash games and tournaments tonight.
Away from the top you'll need to embrace some more risk tonight. Aaron Sanchez has a matchup with a Tigers lineup that features a ton of right-handed hitters, yet powerful right-handed hitters. Luckily, Sanchez is dominant against right-handed hitters. In his career, Sanchez has allowed a .214 wOBA against righties in his young career while posting a K% over 20% and a 2.56 xFIP against a career 5.05 xFIP against lefties. The Tigers implied run total is 4.6 runs, but taking a flier on Sanchez might be worth it in tournaments.
Dropping a ton of salary you'll find Michael Pineda ($12,000). Pineda has not been good this season but he has all the makings of a solid DFS option. Look beyond the ERA over six and you'll find a 3.45 xFIP and strikeout rate of over ten hitters per nine innings. In conjunction with those numbers, he's posted a huge boost in his SwStr%, leading to a career high of 14%. The only issue is that Pineda has allowed a huge hard contact rate this season and the Angels just don't strikeout very much. It might be a risk worth taking.
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