MLB GPP Recap: Brotherly Love
MLB GPP Recap: Brotherly Love
If you asked the great Ron Burgundy how to describe the makeup of last night's lineups in GPPs he'd casually try to compare it to an old, old, wooden ship (see clip at the bottom of this piece if you have no clue why he would do this). If you asked me, I'd probably say something about how strange it is that a hodge-podge of Phillies combined with a bunch of other “fill-ins” was a successful strategy.
I know there are probably plenty of Phillies fans out there about to dive into this piece, and I'm sure that they're all considering this their “Tin Cup Moment.” Phillies fans have had to endure an utter nightmare of a season that probably felt like the disappointment that comes when your ball doesn't make it over the water and plops right into the hazard. Nevertheless, that light at the end of the tunnel comes some time, and for Phils fans that dabble in DFS, last night was your night.
Here's a look at the top performers from the night...including at least one Philly.
|Rick Porcello||8IP, 1ER, 13K, 1BB, 5HA||38.4||20|
|Darin Ruf||2R, 3H, 1HR, 6RBI||32||13.5|
|Yoenis Cespedes||2R, 2H, 1 3B, 1HR, 2RBI||26||10.5|
|Matt Kemp||1R, 3H, 1 2B, 1HR, 4RBI, 1BB||30||12.75|
And...here's a look at the players that best combined players from the top performers table.
$500K Super Slugger, $1,065 Entry, $100K to First Place
Team: Zack Grienke, Carlos Ruiz, Darin Ruf, Dee Gordon, Kris Bryant, Freddy Galvis, Curtis Granderson, Jeff Francoeur, Brandon Moss
$200K Monster, $300 Entry, $30K to First Place
Team: Drew Smyly, Evan Gattis, Darin Ruf, Jose Altuve, Kyle Seager, Carlos Correa, Matt Kemp, Jacoby Ellsbury, Curtis Granderson
$200K Grand Slam, $25 Entry, $20K to First Place
Team: Matt Shoemaker, Evan Gattis, Darin Ruf, Anthony Rendon, David Wright, Didi Gregorius, Kyle Schwarber, Yoenis Cespedes, Jayson Werth
$100K Rally, $5 Entry, $10K to First Place
Team: Matt Shoemaker, Salvador Perez, Chris Davis, Brian Dozier, Brett Lawrie, Wilmer Flores, Kole Calhoun, Yoenis Cespedes, Matt Kemp
$300K Mega Perfect Game, $300 Entry, $100K to First Place
Team: Madison Bumgarner, Chris Sale, Kyle Schwarber, Darin Ruf, Darnell Sweeney, Freddy Galvis, Andres Blanco, Aaron Altherr, Yoenis Cespedes, Jeff Francoeur
$400K Mega Payoff Pitch, $27 Entry, $100,000 to First Place
Team: Madison Bumgarner, Chris Sale, Carlos Ruiz, Darin Ruf, Darnell Sweeney, Nolan Arenado, Andres Blanco, Aaron Altherr, Yoenis Cespedes, Jeff Francoeur
$175K Moonshot, $3 Entry, $12K to First Place
Team: Madison Bumgarner, Rick Porcello, Yan Gomes, Chris Davis, Jose Altuve, Jung Ho Kang, Francisco Lindor, Yoenis Cespedes, Matt Kemp, Domingo Santana
So now you have read through those teams, and you're wondering how so many people decided to use the Philadelphia Phillies.
I'm not really a mind reading guru, but let's take a look at one potential reason for it.
Why Did It Happen?
Why would it make sense to roster Phillies last night? (And yes, I know hindsight is 50-50 *hat tip Cam Newton*) Phillies stacks made sense for a few different reasons. First and foremost, the opposing pitcher was Jon Niese. While Niese certainly wasn't the worst pitcher that took to the mound last night in terms of skillset, he doesn't exactly intimidate an offense. He doesn't strike anyone out (6.06 K/9) and he gives up a lot of hard contact. His hard hit rate (30.7%) is the 19th highest in the league - that's not a category you want to be near the top of the leaderboard in. After noticing that the matchup was there, the stacks came together nicely on DraftKings as a cheap, accessible full stack with your pick of pitchers. Better yet, noting that this game was at Citi Field (and it was the Phillies offense) rostering them was likely a contrarian move, aimed at separating a lineup from the field. Guess what guys, it worked.
Pay Up For Pitching?
Although a lot of top arms took to the mound last night, it wasn't them that brought home the bacon. Sure, you'll see a mixture of top arms in the winning lineups from the teams above, but that was aided by the use of Philadelphia Phillies' players and “decent” box scores. While the top arms were reasonable, Bumgarner, Grienke nor Chris Sale contributed the upside game that you'd expect when paying up for their services. Instead though, Rick Porcello and Drew Smyly, who took ownership levels less than 10% combined in most tournaments racked up plenty of strikeouts and led the way in tournaments.
I made the joke above about the diverse aspect of last night's winning lineups, and boy were they diverse. Aside from some of the full Philadelphia stacks, certain winning teams from both sites did not include more than two players from one major league team. Perhaps my favorite example of this is the winner of the $3 Moonshot on DraftKings that was able to get so much individual production from all of his players without really gaining much correlation between their at-bats, since they were with different teams.
His team, which I quoted again above, only includes a few pairs of teammates, an unlikely makeup for a tournament lineup. Because of the heavy correlation between teammates in baseball and how much a player is tied to others in his same lineup, it's rare to see tournament winning lineups that look like this. For Molek42, a Furious-hat tip, I'm not sure you'd even consider these mini-stacks.
So, what even happened last night?
The beauty of being able to do these recaps is the ability to learn from different strategies and lineup combinations and dive into just how successful or unsuccessful they are from night to night. Typically I'm just picking out the stacks that came to fruition the night before, but last night pointed to the uncertainty and variance in baseball and how literally anything can happen. Nights like these add to the beauty of DFS because it isn't just about locking in the highest Vegas run total, but instead, essentially picking the “perfect” team.
For your viewing pleasure, as promised:
Be the first to know
Want FREE Fantasy and Gaming Advice and Savings Delivered to your Inbox? Sign up for our Newsletter.