3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Friday 1/15/21
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up (to the tune of cold hard cash) to measuring a player’s potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball. Here we’ll focus on utilizing our projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props.
For this article, we are using the odds provided at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
Please note that betting lines and our game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Over 30.5 Points, Rebounds, and Assists (-122)
Is it me, or this line a little too low for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander? SGA has hit this in four of his last five games, with his previous outing versus the Los Angeles Lakers being his lone under in that span.
The Oklahoma City Thunder guard has been instrumental in the OKC’s success this season, and in a winnable matchup versus the Chicago Bulls, Gilgeous-Alexander should have a big day. He is averaging 23.4 points, 7.8 assists, 6.4 rebounds in wins (37.6 combined points, boards and assists) this season, compared to 18.2 points, 4.5 rebounds, and 4.2 assists per game (26.9) in losses.
On top of that, Chicago struggles versus point guards. The Bulls allow the 9th-most points (25.24), 3rd-most assists (9.60) and 16th-most rebounds (6.66) to the position.
Paul George Over 36.5 Points, Rebounds, and Assists (-111)
Paul George went over this total in two straight games with the Los Angeles Clippers and has done so in seven of 11 games overall this season. George has impacted not only the Clippers’ scoring but is also grabbing 6.3 boards per game and a passing out a career-high 5.5 assists per game. Luckily for him, the Sacramento Kings are a really soft matchup. Sacramento allows shooting guards to attain the fifth-most assists per game (4.95) and the most points per game (27.85).
George has been a critical facilitator for LA, and in the Clippers’ only win over Sacramento last season, George scored 21 points, grabbed 11 rebounds, and dished out nine assists for a near triple-double. George played 40 minutes in that one and shot 25 times. Our model projects George to total 26.9 points, 5.6 rebounds, and 5.4 assists versus the Kings (37.9 combined).
Trae Young Over 28.5 Points (-106)
Trae Young and the Atlanta Hawks have had a few extra days off as their previous game versus the Phoenix Suns was canceled. Before that Young suited up for only 25 minutes in a blowout win versus a depleted Philadelphia 76ers. Taking on the Jazz in Utah, Young should be ready to rock tonight.
When Young plays fewer than 30 minutes, he usually impresses mightily in the next game. Only once this season have we gotten to see such a game, and in that one, he posted 36 points in 35 minutes. In his last nine such contests (dating back to 2018-19), Young averages 32.0 points points per game and has hit the over on this 28.5 line eight of nine times. On at least three days of rest last season, Young averaged 31.3 points per game in 10 contests.
Young is in a prime position to pour in a lot of points tonight.