Best NBA Player Props Bets for January 14
A five-game night in the National Basketball Association on Thursday night with a pair of late games from the west coast. Here’s to another 2-0 night after correctly predicting Kevin Durant would go under, and CJ McCollum over in points scored on Wednesday. Before we get to tonight’s props, make sure you have your fantasy lineups, and also, check out FanDuel to put together a team for tonight’s action. We’re always confident in our picks, but take a look to see if any other players jump out at you by using the SportsGrid Player Prop Tool. Ensure you always check back throughout the day, as odds and projections may change with news and starting rotations. Our good friends provide all the odds over at the FanDuel Sportsbook.
Denver Nuggets Nikola Jokic vs. Golden State Warriors
The Bet: Over 11.5 Rebounds (-110)
Nikola Jokic is having an MVP worthy career year for the Denver Nuggets. The Joker is averaging a triple-double with 24.3 points, 10.9 rebounds, and 10.5 assists per game. Jokic is the first center in NBA history to be leading the league in assists with the highest average since Wilt Chamberlain’s 8.6 per game in the 1967-68 season. The big Serbian is also eighth in the NBA in rebounding.
Jokic has seven double-digit board games this season and has not had a game of under eight rebounds this year. The seven-footer has a juicy matchup with the Warriors on Thursday night.
Golden State is allowing the second-most rebounds in the NBA. The Warriors have allowed nearly 50 boards a game, with more than 11 coming on the offensive end. Jokic has a history of strong rebounding against GS, averaging 12.5 boards per game against them last season and 12.3 per game in 2016.
This year’s Warriors are definitely a small ball type team with the lack of a strong presence in the middle. Golden State’s top rebounder is only pulling down 6.4 boards per night, with their rookie James Wiseman playing just 20 minutes per night. It’s hard to see Golden State having anyone who can consistently box out Jokic for a full game and contain him on the glass.
Jokic is projected to pull down 12.3 rebounds on Thursday night against G State, and him going north of that number would not be much of a surprise. The Nugget’s center has pulled down a season-high 15 rebounds twice this year, and a new season-best is more than possible against the Warriors.
Denver is a -5 point home favorite at FanDuel’s Sportsbook, with the moneyline at -198, while a total of 225.5 should bring a high-scoring game between these two offensive-minded teams.
Indiana Pacers Domantas Sabonis vs. Portland Trail Blazers
The Bet: Over 21.5 Points (-108)
Domantas Sabonis may have to shoulder more of the offensive load than usual when the Pacers head to Portland Thursday night.
On Wednesday, Indiana traded Victor Oladipo to the Rockets for Caris LeVert, who was just acquired by Houston in the James Harden blockbuster. Neither Oladipo nor LeVert will be in the Pacers’ lineup against the Blazers opening an opportunity for Sabonis.
Oladipo was the Pacers third-leading scorer putting up 20 points per game while also third in minutes played at over 33 a night. The offense will flow near exclusively through Malcolm Brogdon and Sabonis on Thursday night.
Sabonis is second on the team in scoring, behind Brogdon, putting up nearly 22 a game. The former Gonzaga product has put up a pair of 28 point games in his past three.
The Portland-born Sabonis dropped 27 in his only trip to the Pacific Northwest last year in a 10-point loss to the Blazers in January. This year’s Trail Blazers are no defensive specialists. Portland allows the fifth-most points in the NBA, giving up 116.4 per game while allowing a bottom-ten near 47 percent shooting rate from the floor. Sabonis is in the top-15, shooting almost 56 percent.
Sabonis is projected to score 22 points and be right near the number, but without Oladipo or LeVert shorthanded on offense, the Pacers big man will have to step up and shoulder the scoring load to hang with the high-octane Blazers.
Indiana is a +3 point road dog and +132 on the moneyline, while the total sits at a chubby 229 points at FanDuel’s Sportsbook, so expect offensive fireworks.