Best NBA Player Props Bets for January 28
A relatively quiet night in the Association following one of the busiest nights of the year on Wednesday. One day after a slate of 12 games, the NBA features four matchups on Thursday evening. The first tip-off goes at 7:30 p.m. ET between the Blazers and Rockets, with the nightcap going at 10:00 p.m. between Golden State and Phoenix. Make sure you get those fantasy lineups locked and loaded for Thursday’s four-pack.
But don’t stop your fantasy fix there. Also, check out FanDuel to put a team together for tonight’s hoops action. And somehow, our scorching streak just keeps rolling. Our third straight night of perfection brings us to a record of 18-2 over our past 20 recommended picks. The sun keeps shining as we had Zion Williams over 33.5 pts+rebs last night, and he went out and scored a season-high 32 points. We needed every bit of his two rebounds on the night to just get us over by a half tick. Nikola Jokic had a good game against the Heat, but his 21 was just under the 22.5 points total we recommended. We’re living dangerously just edging by, but if you’re not living on the razor’s edge, are you really living? Hells no! While we always stand behind our choices, take a look to see if any other players jump out at you by using the SportsGrid Player Prop Tool. Ensure you always check back throughout the day, as odds and projections may change with news and starting rotations. As always, our pals at FanDuel Sportsbook set you up with all the latest and greatest odds.
Houston Rockets Victor Oladipo vs. Portland Trail Blazers
The Bet: Over 2.5 made three-pointers (-164)
While the juice is much higher than our usual prop picks, this should be pretty close to a lock on Thursday night. We looked at the over in points for a few players on the Rockets, but the status of Rockets leading-scorer Christian Wood kind of casts some uncertainty there. Wood’s missed the team’s last three games and is questionable against Portland with an ankle sprain. During Wood’s absence, other Rockets have had to step up and score, most notably for us anyway, was John Wall, who hit the over for us with 24 against his old Wizards team on Tuesday. While Wood’s return could affect how much scoring the rest of the team does, it shouldn’t change Victor Oladipo from behind the arc. In fact, Wood playing could help Victor’s cause.
Oladipo is hitting 2.6 triples per game this season, much of the damage being done in Indiana. With the Pacers, Victor had some big bodies inside, drawing the defense’s attention in Domantas Sabonis and Myles Turner, who could kick out for uncontested three-balls for Oladipo. Christian Wood, at 6’10, is that guy for the Rockets guard in Houston. If Wood plays against Portland, Oladipo could see some easier shots; if he doesn’t, Victor could see more shots as the Rockets will need to fill that scoring void.
The Blazers have one of the worst defensive backcourts in basketball and are shorthanded with no two-guard CJ McCollum or Jusuf Nurkic. Portland is allowing the seventh-most three-pointers in the NBA at 13.4 triples per game. They are also right around the bottom-ten in the league in opponents’ three-point field goal percentage. Overall the Blazers are the fifth-worst defense in the league, giving up over 116 a night and allowing opponents to shoot over 47 percent from the floor.
The Rockets are -5 point home favorites at FanDuel’s Sportsbook, while the Moneyline sits fairly high at -210. The total at 229 means there should be lots of scoring, with much of it coming from behind the arc by our guy Victor Oladipo.
Detroit Pistons Jerami Grant vs. Los Angeles Lakers
The Bet: Under 22.5 Points (-122)
While the Lakers have plenty of firepower from the likes of LeBron James and Anthony Davis, it’s the defense that has really been their bread and butter this year. After all, don’t forget Lebron is a five-time All-Defensive First Team player while AD has led the league in blocks three times and has multiple NBA defensive team honors. In large part, thanks to their dynamic duo LA has been around the top of the league in team defense all year. The Lakers now sit less than a point behind the league lead allowing only 104.6 a night. LA has especially been good defending the perimeter, giving up a league-low 10.9 three-balls a night. Bad news for a player like Jerami Grant.
The Pistons’ leading scorer generates much of his offense from behind the arc. Grant is second on the team, hitting 2.6 triples a night toward his team-best 24.4 points per game. Detroit’s swingman is playing well over his head for a terrible Pistons team as the eighth-year man has a career scoring average of just 9.9 points. Grant has never put up more than 13.6 per game in a season until now, and while we know somebody’s got to score for a bad team, it’s not like Grant is a natural offensive weapon.
It’ll be tough for the 26-year-old journeyman to deploy those weapons against a player like LeBron, who should have his share of guarding the Piston on Thursday. It might be even tougher coming in on a back-to-back after playing a team-high 32 minutes in a loss to Cleveland on Wednesday.
Detroit is a big home dog sitting at +8 with a lottery-like +285 on the Moneyline after dropping their fifth in six games last night. The total at FanDuel’s Sportsbook is a low 214, reflecting the Lakers stellar defense coupled with the Pistons’ 20th ranked scoring attack and league-worst field goal rate of just 42.9 percent shooting.