Houston Rockets vs. Indiana Pacers Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview for NBA Basketball Game
Houston Rockets vs. Indiana Pacers Game Information
Houston Rockets (2-3) vs. Indiana Pacers (5-2)
Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Bankers Life Fieldhouse
TV Coverage: NBA League Pass, AT&T Sportsnet Southwest, Fox Sports Indiana
Houston Rockets vs. Indiana Pacers Moneyline, Spread, Total, and Odds
Moneyline: (Open: Rockets +120 / Pacers -140) (Current: Rockets +108 / Pacers -126)
Spread: (Open: Pacers -2.5) (Current: Pacers -2)
Total: (Open: 226) (Current: 225.5)
NBA Championship Odds: Mavericks +5500 / Rockets +4900
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Houston Rockets vs. Indiana Pacers News and Notes
Despite Ben McLemore and Kenyon Martin Jr. returning to the team after undergoing the NBA’s COVID-19 protocols, both players still need to improve their conditioning, and they’ll Wednesday’s game against the Pacers. Mason Jones remains sidelined with an ankle injury while Chris Clemons is done for the season with a torn Achilles.
The Pacers are currently dealing with injuries to five of their players: Jalen Lecque and Goga Bitadze are both out with Grade 2 ankle sprains, T.J. Warren is out after having foot surgery, while Brian Bowen (groin) and Jeremy Lamb (ACL) are not expected back with the team until late January.
- The total is 8-1 to the under in their last nine meetings.
- The total is 7-1 to the under in Houston’s last eight games after an ATS loss.
- The total is 4-1 to the under in Indiana’s last five homes against a team with a winning percentage under .500.
- Houston is 1-7 ATS in their last eight road games against a team with a winning percentage under .500.
- Houston is 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games against Indiana.
Houston Rockets vs. Indiana Pacers Predictions and Picks
The Rockets and the Pacers are two teams that don’t necessarily profile as fast-paced teams in the league. Per TeamRankings, Houston is averaging 105.3 possessions per game while Indiana is averaging 104.5. Over their last three games, both teams are actually averaging below their season average in possessions, with Houston at 102.3 and Indiana at 103. Compare that to Golden State, who leads the league with an average of 111.6 possessions per outing.
Teams that can defend the three-point line are more likely to be involved in low-scoring games. Not only are the Pacers ranked 5th in three-pointers made by their opponents (11.3 per game), but they’ve also allowed the fewest amount of three-point attempts per game (27). That tells me the Pacers are giving a ton of effort on the defensive end and closing down potential shooters. If you factor that in with two teams that don’t necessarily play at a blistering pace, then I think the under in this spot should be worth a look. Some historical trends also favor the under in this matchup.
My model projects a total of 218.36 points for this game. That gives me significant value, with the current total at 225.5. This opened at 226 and has already been bet down a half-point. We could see this number even lower by tipoff.
The Pick: Under 225.5