Los Angeles Clippers vs. Golden State Warriors: Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview
LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS VS. GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS GAME INFORMATION
Time: 10 p.m. ET
Venue: Chase Center
TV Coverage: ESPN
LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS VS. GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS MONEYLINE, SPREAD, TOTAL, AND ODDS
Moneyline: Clippers -190 | Warriors +160
Spread: Clippers -5
NBA Championship Odds: Clippers +600 | Warriors +5500
Odds courtesy of Fanduel Sportsbook. Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook today and get your first bet risk free for up to $1,000!
LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS VS. GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS NEWS AND NOTES
These two teams enter this game in very different places from an injury perspective.
For the Warriors, their only real absence at the moment is Marquese Chriss. He’s expected to miss significant time after undergoing ankle surgery, but he wasn’t a huge part of the Warriors’ plans this season to begin with. Eric Paschall has seen some time at backup center recently, and he has fared well in that role.
Of course, they are still without Klay Thompson, but they knew that they would be without him for the duration of the season.
On the Clippers side, they could be without three of their top players in this contest. They’re playing on the second leg of a back-to-back, and Kawhi Leonard is definitely a candidate to sit. He rarely played on back-to-back sets last season, and he has not played in a back-to-back yet this year. There is no official report on Kawhi resting quite yet, but it’s just a matter of time before he pops on the injury report with a mystery ailment.
The only way I see Kawhi suiting up is if Paul George is inactive. He sat out yesterday’s contest with an ankle injury, and the Clippers ultimately lost to the Spurs despite being significant home favorites. George has gotten off to a fantastic start this season, leading the team with an average of 25.0 points per game while shooting 50.8% from the field, 49.2% from 3-point range, and 92.9% from the free-throw line.
My official prediction is that George ultimately returns to the lineup tonight, which clears the way for Leonard to get the night off. That fits the plan that the Clippers established for their two superstars last season.
Marcus Morris isn’t the same player as Leonard or George, but he did emerge as one of their most important role players last season. The team increased their Net Rating by +17.7 points per 100 possessions with Morris on the court last season, which put him in the 100th percentile for all players per Cleaning the Glass. He’s yet to suit up this season, and it’s unclear when he will return to the lineup.
LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS VS. GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS PREVIEW AND PICK
The Clippers are undoubtedly the better team when at full strength, but there is almost no chance they’re at full strength tonight. The most likely scenario is that one of Leonard or George will be out of the lineup, but there’s a chance that neither player suits up as well.
Unsurprisingly, the Clippers have been at their best with both players on the court this season (per NBAWowy):
- Both players on court: +16.4 Net Rating
- Leonard on, George off: +2.5 Net Rating
- George on, Leonard off: +5.0 Net Rating
- Both players off court: -36.2 Net Rating
On the other side, the Warriors have started to turn their season around. Steph Curry has been incredible over his past two games, scoring a combined 92 points while shooting 55.1% from the field, 46.4% from 3-point range, and 96.2% from the free-throw line.
That said, the bigger development has been the improved play of Curry’s supporting cast. Andrew Wiggins has turned things around after a dreadful start to the season, while Draymond Green has made a huge impact since returning to the lineup. The Warriors have increased their Net Rating by +22.9 points per 100 possessions in 67 minutes with Green on the court, and they’ve been significantly better on both sides of the ball.
Kelly Oubre has also started to show some signs of life, and he even managed to make some 3-pointers in his last game. He’s still shooting just 34.1% from the field and 16.7% from 3-point range for the season, but he’s looked more like the player that the Warriors thought they were getting when they traded for him in the offseason.
Overall, this spread is too high if the Clippers are not at full strength. I’m willing to roll the dice and grab this number at +5 since I expect the Clippers to be without at least one of Leonard or George.
The Pick: Warriors +5