The Orlando Magic will look to get back on track Tuesday night as they hit the road for a matchup with the Oklahoma City Thunder at Chesapeake Energy Arena. Orlando had a tough weekend with back-to-back losses vs the Milwaukee Bucks and Denver Nuggets at home.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
- Orlando Magic: +136
- Oklahoma City Thunder: -160
- Orlando Magic +3.5: -110
- Oklahoma City Thunder -3.5: -110
- Over 204: -110
- Under 204: -110
Key Points to Consider
Defense Doesn’t Always Win: Orlando has one of the best defenses in the league, holding opponents to 98 points per game — but still find themselves below .500 because of their struggles on the other side of the ball. They just don’t have a reliable scorer, play-maker, or anything that resembles one. They are bottom of the league in three-point percentage, in addition to scoring the fewest points per game at just 93.5 per.
X-Factor: A huge variable in this matchup is whether or not Steven Adams will play for OKC. He has had some knee issues to start this season, but he did practice Monday afternoon — suggesting he could be a GO for Tuesday night’s game. If he’s in the game, it’s a much different ball game, especially for Magic center Nikola Vucevic.
2-4: Both teams head into this matchup with two wins and four losses on the season so far. Orlando is winless so far in November, last recording a win on 10/30 vs the New York Knicks. Oklahoma City has been at home for almost a week now, coming off a 115-104 win at home vs the New Orleans Pelicans.
ATS: OKC is 4-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last five games overall with at least 2 days of rest.
Betting on the Total: AccuScore data would lean on the OVER here. Average combined score in sims is 207.3 points.
Nikola Vucevic is projected to lead Orlando with 19 points on 50% shooting, 9 rebounds, 3 assists and 1 block. He averages 2 TOs per sim.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is projected to lead Oklahoma City with 23 points on 57 percent shooting, 6 rebounds, 5 assists, and 1 steal. He averages 2 TOs per sim.
OKC to cover.
Three-star (out of four) hot trend pick. Thunder cover over 63 percent of simulated matchups. Average margin of victory for OKC in sims is +6.9 points.
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