Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat: Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat Game Information
Milwaukee Bucks 1-2 vs Miami Heat 1-1
Date: Tuesday, December 29, 2020
Time: 7:30 p.m.
Venue: American Airlines Arena
TV Coverage: TNT
Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Moneyline, Spread, Total and Odds
Moneyline: Bucks -215 | Heat +180
Spread: Bucks -5
Odds to Win NBA Championship: Bucks +600 | Heat +1600
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Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat News and Notes
The Bucks are off to a slow start, losing their last two after blowing out the Golden State Warriors on Christmas Day. They were blown out by the Knicks Sunday, losing 130-110. Despite a double-double performance by Giannis, the only other production on the floor came from Kris Middleton, who posted 22 points, four rebounds and five assists in 33 minutes. Jrue Holiday had a lackluster game with only eight points, four rebounds and five assists.
Bobby Portis has been surprising, coming off the bench splitting time at center Brook Lopez. In the loss to the Knicks, Portis had 17 points, seven rebounds and two assists.
With Jimmy Butler likely to miss time due to reaggravating an ankle injury, there will be question marks on what the rotation might look like tonight. The Heat will likely use Bam Adebayo to guard Giannis, similar to what was deployed during the playoffs. Look for Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Kendrick Nunn and Goran Dragic to see increased usage in Butler’s absence. Each has a usage rate above 20% when Butler is off the floor, with Dragic and Herro having usage rates above 25% in more than 400 minutes played without Butler last season.
Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Predictions and Picks
The public is backing the Heat to cover 64% and the moneyline at 63% at the time of this writing. The SportsGrid Betting Model is leaning toward this game being closer, giving the Heat a 57% chance to win the game.
The Bucks were 6-9 when favorited by more than five points last season, covering all six of their wins. They were tied for fifth last season as a road favorite, posting a 24-8 record, covering the spread 16 times.
As a five-point underdog, the Heat have a 4-10 record, covering the spread five times last season. When at home and as an underdog, the Heat posted a 29-7 record, good for third in the league, covering the spread 22 times.
The close game looks to be a bounce-back spot for the Bucks, especially with Jimmy Butler listed as doubtful, in a rematch of last season’s Eastern Conference Semifinals.
The Pick: Bucks +3