NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Thursday 9/24/20
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up (to the tune of cold hard cash), to measure a player’s potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.
While you can use those odds in fantasy, you can also utilize our fantasy projections and a variety of other tools to help make money betting everyday player props.
For this article, we are using the odds provided at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint three spots where value can be had on a player’s stat line, scoring, or even shot type.
Please note that betting lines and our game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
LeBron James, Over 43.5 Points, Rebounds, Assists (-148) Alt Spread
LeBron James notched his third triple-double of the postseason with 30 points, 11 assists, and 10 rebounds in the Los Angeles Lakers‘ Game 3 loss to the Denver Nuggets. LeBron played 37 minutes in that one. That loss marked the third in 13 overall postseason games for LA, and coming off a loss, LeBron has averaged 19.0 points, 8.5 rebounds, and 8.0 assists.
His point mark is so low because one of those two contests came in a blowout victory over the Blazers, 111-88. He totaled 10 points, seven assists, and six rebounds in 27 minutes in that one, his lowest minute total of the postseason. He’s been up 2-1 twice in the first two rounds, and in both Game 4s, he’s nearly triple-doubled with 23.0 points, 10.5 rebounds, and 9.5 assists per game.
He’s played 36 or more minutes in two straight games, and when he’s surpassed 35 minutes in the postseason, his numbers are quite impressive. LeBron has put up 24.6 points, 10.6 rebounds, and 8.6 assists per game when he plays 36 or more minutes over six playoff performances in these playoffs.
numberFire’s model projects him to post 25.8 points, 10.6 assists, and 8.2 rebounds in 38.2 minutes.
Jamal Murray, Over 25.5 Points (-110)
Jamal Murray went off late in Game 3 to save the series for the Nuggets. Murray has played 44 minutes in two straight and scored 25 and 28 points in them. He nearly triple-doubled in Game 3 with 28 points, 12 assists, and eight rebounds. He’s made two or more three-pointers in all three postseason meetings with the Lakers and is shooting 53.1% from the field and 44.1% from deep in the series.
When the Nuggets are coming off a win in the postseason, Murray has averaged 23.6 points, 5.5 assists, and 3.3 assists in eight games. When he’s played 40 or more minutes in the playoffs, which he’s done in 12 of 17 games, Murray has averaged 31.6 points, 6.6 rebounds, and 5.7 rebounds. He’ll likely push for 40 minutes in Game 4 as the Nuggets look to even the series, and Denver will lean on their star guard to score the ball.