NBA Win Total Odds and Analysis
The 2020-21 NBA season tips off Tuesday. Although shortened to 71 games, fans can expect a jam-packed season, likely to go down to the wire.
Here is a look at a few win total futures to consider on FanDuel Sportsbook:
Boston Celtics – 44.5 games u (-122) | o (+100)
FanDuel Sportsbook currently lists the Celtics win total at 44.5 games. With Kemba Walker out until at least January with a left knee injury and the absence of Gordon Hayward, Boston will have to rely heavily on Jayson Tatum, Jalen Brown and Marcus Smart. The addition of Tristan Thompson may pay off if he can remain healthy. Jeff Teague and rookie Payton Pritchard will walk into expanded roles early in the season.
Last season, Boston won 48 games, finishing third in the Eastern Conference. The Celtics allowed second-least opponent points per game with 107.3, while ranking ninth in points per game with 113.7. In the 51 games the Celtics were listed as a favorite, they posted a .745-win percentage.
Boston has a difficult schedule ahead of them. With early matchups against the improved Philadelphia 76ers, Brooklyn Nets and Milwaukee Bucks, as well as a late-season west coast road trip featuring the Lakers, Clippers, Suns and Mavericks, taking the under (-122) is enticing.
Oklahoma City Thunder – 20.5 games u (+132) | o (-162)
With an inexperienced team, the Thunder look to be in full rebuild mode. Losing the bulk of the team in Chris Paul, Dennis Schroder and Steven Adams, Oklahoma City will depend on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to be the primary playmaker. Production will also need to come from veterans George Hill and Al Horford.
As a team, the Thunder ranked toward the bottom in average points per game with 110, good for 21st in the league. In the 34 games they were listed as a favorite, the Thunder posted a .794-win percentage.
A 44-win team in 2019, the Thunder have a difficult mid-season, facing the Lakers, Bucks and Nuggets during an 11-game stretch. Early season matchups against Charlotte Hornets, Orlando Magic, Chicago Bulls and New York Knicks should help the team reach the over (-162) on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Philadelphia 76ers – 42.5 games u (+108) | o (-132)
The over is currently set at -132 on FanDuel Sportsbook. Last season, the 76ers were a 43-win team, averaging 110.7 points per game. The squad returns primary ball handler, Ben Simmons and big man Joel Embiid, as well as Tobias Harris, who led the team in scoring last season. Harris also gives stability to the rotation, only missing three games in the last four years. Harris averaged 34 minutes per game, scoring 19 points per game and adding 6 rebounds and 2 assists.
New head coach Doc Rivers will certainly keep his foot on the pedal. Last season, his Los Angeles Clippers squad ranked tenth in average possession per game with 104.9, two more on average than the 76ers.
Facing weaker Eastern Conference opponents such as the Orlando Magic, Charlotte Hornets and Cleveland Cavaliers early in the season will give the Philadelphia squad a foundation to reach the over.
Los Angeles Lakers – 48.5 Games u (-105) | o (-115)
The defending NBA champion Los Angeles Lakers are the current favorite to repeat in 2021, sitting at +270 on FanDuel Sportsbook.
The duo of LeBron James and Anthony Davis are outright dominating. When on the floor together, both average more than 30 points per game and have a 29% and 27% usage rate, respectively. The Lakers are also returning most of the roster from last year and have added Dennis Schroder at point guard and Marc Gasol at center.
A 52-win team last season, the Lakers averaged 113.4 points per game, while allowing the fourth least opponent points allowed with 107.6. The team also had the second-highest frequency of being a favorite last year at 61 games. In games where they were the favorite, the Lakers posted a .721-win percentage, outscoring their opponents by an average of five points.
With what looks to be a tough schedule in a stacked Western Conference, the Lakers will have to rely heavily on their mid-January road trip east, facing opponents such as the Cleveland Cavaliers, Atlanta Hawks and Chicago Bulls to help them reach the over (-115). A team looking toward the playoffs, they should once again be at the top of the Western Conference standings, winning more than 48 games.
It can be anyone’s year, and a few teams might even surprise us. But one thing is for sure, we are all excited to have basketball back.