Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview for NBA Basketball Game
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets Game Information
Oklahoma City Thunder (2-4) vs. Denver Nuggets (2-2)
Time: 9:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Ball Arena
TV Coverage: NBA League Pass, Fox Sports Oklahoma, Altitude
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets Moneyline, Spread, Total, and Odds
Moneyline: (Open: Thunder +325 / Nuggets -425) (Current: Thunder +360 / Nuggets -460)
Spread: (Open: Nuggets -9) (Current: Nuggets -9.5)
Total: (Open: 220.5) (Current: 220.5)
NBA Championship Odds: Thunder+25000 / Nuggets +2100
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Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets News and Notes
Oklahoma City lists three players on their injury report: Ty Jerome (ankle) is day-to-day. Al Horford (personal) will be out until January 22nd, while Trevor Ariza (personal) is out until early February.
Denver also lists three players on their injury report: Greg Whittington (knee) is out until January 22nd, while Michael Porter Jr. and Juancho Hernangomez are in the league’s COVID-19 protocol.
- Oklahoma City is on a 6-1 ATS run on the road.
- Denver is on a 1-4 ATS run when playing on one day’s rest.
- The total is 9-1 to the over in Denver’s last 10 games on one day’s rest.
- The total is 8-2 to the over in Oklahoma City’s last 10 games against a team under .500.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets Predictions and Picks
With a grueling season that doesn’t give much time for practice or even rest, assessing a team’s fatigue is a normal part of an NBA handicap. The Denver Nuggets have sputtered out of the gates this season. They’re one game below .500 (6-7) and seem far from the team that came back from a 3-1 deficit to beat the Los Angeles Clippers in last year’s Western Conference Semifinals. The loss of second-year player Michael Porter Jr. also shouldn’t go unnoticed. He’s been in the league’s COVID-19 protocols after getting off to a hot start averaging 19.5 points in the four games he played.
Laying 9.5 points in this spot is a big ask for the Nuggets. They’re just 4-9 against the spread and 1-4 on one day’s rest. Whereas the Thunder come into this matchup fully rested with three days between games. I think that could be the difference in this ballgame, and I don’t mind grabbing the points either with the visiting team.
I did some research and found that going back to the 2019 season, Denver is actually 0-5-2 ATS as a favorite when the spread is between 9 and 10 points. After checking with my model, I’d make the Nuggets closer to a five-point home favorite, which gives me an edge of roughly four points at the current number. This sets up as a good spot to fade the Nuggets due to the inflated point spread. Back the Thunder to keep this o
The Pick: Thunder +9.5