Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Portland Trail Blazers: Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview
OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER VS. PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS GAME INFORMATION
Time: 10:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Moda Center
TV Coverage: NBA League Pass
OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER VS. PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS MONEYLINE, SPREAD, TOTAL, AND ODDS
Moneyline: Thunder +188 | Blazers -255
Spread: Blazers -5.5
NBA Championship Odds: Thunder +25000 | Blazers +5500
OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER VS. PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS NEWS AND NOTES
These two teams are both dealing with some absences at the moment.
The Thunder will be without Al Horford, who remains away from the team for personal reasons. Horford is not the same player in his prime, but he’s still been an important part of the Thunder’s rotation this season. He ranks fourth on the team in minutes per game this season, and the Thunder have increased their Net Rating by +10.8 points per 100 possessions with Horford on the floor. That’s the second-highest mark on the team.
The Blazers are dealing with two key injuries. C.J. McCollum and Jusuf Nurkic are both out with long-term injuries, which leaves them without two of their top three players. McCollum was having a career season before getting hurt – he averaged 26.7 points through his first 13 games – while Nurkic has a diverse skillset for the Blazers. Overall, the Blazers have increased their Net Rating by +17.7 points with McCollum on the court and +4.7 points with Nurkic on the court, so these are two huge absences.
OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER VS. PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS PREVIEW AND PICK
The Thunder are shaping up to be one of the preferred sharp targets on Monday. They’ve received just 33% of the early spread bets, but those bets have accounted for 90% of the spread dollars. That’s a massive discrepancy, which has caused this line to drop from Blazers -6.5 to Blazers -5.5.
The Blazers are undoubtedly the better team when these squads are at full health, but that’s obviously not the case at the moment. The Blazers’ Offensive Rating has dropped to 104.6 points per 100 possessions with McCollum and Nurkic off the court this season, while their Defensive Rating has increased to 114.7. That means they’re being outscored by an average of 10.1 points per 100 possessions in that situation.
The Thunder also match up very well with the Blazers. Portland will need Damian Lillard to carry the offense, and that’s something he’s very capable of doing on most nights. That said, the Thunder have some excellent defenders to throw at him. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is an excellent defensive point guard, and Luguentz Dort made a name for himself by locking down James Harden during the playoffs last season. Dort did a solid job in limited minutes against Lillard last season, limiting him to 37.5% shooting.
Ultimately, I think this line is just a bit too high considering the current injury situations. I’ll roll the dice on the Thunder +5.5.
The Pick: Thunder +5.5